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Elections·Primaries

Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Elections·Primaries

Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Raymond McKay

$0 Vol.

82%

Allen Waters

$4,460 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Raymond McKay leads trader consensus at 82% implied probability for the Rhode Island Republican U.S. Senate primary on September 8, 2026, reflecting his established party credentials as former president of the Rhode Island Republican Assembly and member of the state GOP central committee, plus superior fundraising with $119,000 raised through late 2025 compared to Allen Waters' zero contributions. McKay's recent March 30 fundraiser underscores active grassroots momentum, while Waters, a perennial candidate who lost multiple prior races including unopposed primaries and was once disavowed by the state GOP, trails at 9.6% amid his February announcement for Providence mayor as an independent, signaling divided focus. No polls exist in this early, low-turnout primary cycle ahead of the June 24 filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$4,460
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Raymond McKay leads trader consensus at 82% implied probability for the Rhode Island Republican U.S. Senate primary on September 8, 2026, reflecting his established party credentials as former president of the Rhode Island Republican Assembly and member of the state GOP central committee, plus superior fundraising with $119,000 raised through late 2025 compared to Allen Waters' zero contributions. McKay's recent March 30 fundraiser underscores active grassroots momentum, while Waters, a perennial candidate who lost multiple prior races including unopposed primaries and was once disavowed by the state GOP, trails at 9.6% amid his February announcement for Providence mayor as an independent, signaling divided focus. No polls exist in this early, low-turnout primary cycle ahead of the June 24 filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$4,460
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Rhode island. If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Raymond McKay" at 82%, followed by "Allen Waters" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 3, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Raymond McKay" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Allen Waters" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.