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Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Genter Drummond 46%

Mike Mazzei 32.8%

Charles McCall 16%

Chip Keating 6.6%

Polymarket

$251,693 Vol.

Genter Drummond 46%

Mike Mazzei 32.8%

Charles McCall 16%

Chip Keating 6.6%

Polymarket

$251,693 Vol.

Genter Drummond

$113,873 Vol.

46%

Mike Mazzei

$3,299 Vol.

33%

Charles McCall

$114,302 Vol.

16%

Chip Keating

$2,813 Vol.

7%

Matt Pinnell

$6,767 Vol.

1%

Jake Merrick

$3,561 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Walters

$5,398 Vol.

<1%

Leisa Mitchell Haynes

$1,680 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Attorney General Gentner Drummond as the narrow frontrunner at 45.5% in the Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial primary on June 16, ahead of former state Senator Mike Mazzei at 32.3%, diverging from polls showing Drummond's more decisive lead around 36%. The April 6 statewide GOP forum featuring Drummond, Mazzei, former House Speaker Charles McCall, and Chip Keating intensified focus on fiscal issues, with Mazzei emphasizing his authored income tax cuts and pledge to eliminate the state income tax, fueling his recent surge in some prediction markets like Kalshi despite no new polls. McCall trails at 14.5% amid attack ads questioning rivals' tax records, while the crowded 15-candidate field for the open seat—Stitt term-limited—heightens runoff risks if no majority emerges. Medicaid expansion divides candidates, with Drummond defending it for rural hospitals as traders weigh policy contrasts ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$251,693
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Attorney General Gentner Drummond as the narrow frontrunner at 45.5% in the Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial primary on June 16, ahead of former state Senator Mike Mazzei at 32.3%, diverging from polls showing Drummond's more decisive lead around 36%. The April 6 statewide GOP forum featuring Drummond, Mazzei, former House Speaker Charles McCall, and Chip Keating intensified focus on fiscal issues, with Mazzei emphasizing his authored income tax cuts and pledge to eliminate the state income tax, fueling his recent surge in some prediction markets like Kalshi despite no new polls. McCall trails at 14.5% amid attack ads questioning rivals' tax records, while the crowded 15-candidate field for the open seat—Stitt term-limited—heightens runoff risks if no majority emerges. Medicaid expansion divides candidates, with Drummond defending it for rural hospitals as traders weigh policy contrasts ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$251,693
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Genter Drummond" at 46%, followed by "Mike Mazzei" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $251.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Genter Drummond" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mike Mazzei" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.