Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's strong GOP lean under the new map enacted after October 2025 redistricting, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21 to R+24 and 2024 presidential results showing 70% Republican support. Incumbent Rep. David Taylor (R), who secured 74% in his 2024 general election victory, holds a commanding fundraising edge with over $410,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, facing only token primary challenger Bob Carr on May 5. Democrats field Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson in their primary, but lack resources or polling to threaten in this safe Republican seat per Cook and other ratings. Upsets could stem from a GOP primary surprise, Taylor scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedOH-02 House Election Winner
OH-02 House Election Winner
$20,391 Vol.
$20,391 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$20,391 Vol.
$20,391 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$20,391 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's strong GOP lean under the new map enacted after October 2025 redistricting, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21 to R+24 and 2024 presidential results showing 70% Republican support. Incumbent Rep. David Taylor (R), who secured 74% in his 2024 general election victory, holds a commanding fundraising edge with over $410,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, facing only token primary challenger Bob Carr on May 5. Democrats field Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson in their primary, but lack resources or polling to threaten in this safe Republican seat per Cook and other ratings. Upsets could stem from a GOP primary surprise, Taylor scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$20,391End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's strong GOP lean under the new map enacted after October 2025 redistricting, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21 to R+24 and 2024 presidential results showing 70% Republican support. Incumbent Rep. David Taylor (R), who secured 74% in his 2024 general election victory, holds a commanding fundraising edge with over $410,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, facing only token primary challenger Bob Carr on May 5. Democrats field Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson in their primary, but lack resources or polling to threaten in this safe Republican seat per Cook and other ratings. Upsets could stem from a GOP primary surprise, Taylor scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,391End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Ohio's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's strong GOP lean under the new map enacted after October 2025 redistricting, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21 to R+24 and 2024 presidential results showing 70% Republican support. Incumbent Rep. David Taylor (R), who secured 74% in his 2024 general election victory, holds a commanding fundraising edge with over $410,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, facing only token primary challenger Bob Carr on May 5. Democrats field Jen Mazzuckelli and Todd Wilson in their primary, but lack resources or polling to threaten in this safe Republican seat per Cook and other ratings. Upsets could stem from a GOP primary surprise, Taylor scandal, or national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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