Joe Neguse, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding lead in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent left-leaning composition across Boulder, Fort Collins, and surrounding Front Range and mountain counties. He advanced unopposed in the June 30, 2026, Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a 27-year-old massage therapist, prevailed in her primary but faces structural barriers in a district last won by a Republican in 1972. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly or safely Democratic, aligning with the current 95.5% trader consensus on Neguse. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate withdrawal, or major local controversy before November 3, 2026, could still alter the outcome in this low-competition environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-02 House Election Winner
CO-02 House Election Winner
$40,739 Vol.
$40,739 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Neguse (D)
96%
Kelley Dennison (R)
3%
$40,739 Vol.
$40,739 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Joe Neguse (D)
$19,171 Vol.
96%
Kelley Dennison (R)
$21,569 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Neguse, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding lead in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent left-leaning composition across Boulder, Fort Collins, and surrounding Front Range and mountain counties. He advanced unopposed in the June 30, 2026, Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a 27-year-old massage therapist, prevailed in her primary but faces structural barriers in a district last won by a Republican in 1972. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly or safely Democratic, aligning with the current 95.5% trader consensus on Neguse. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate withdrawal, or major local controversy before November 3, 2026, could still alter the outcome in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$40,739End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Neguse, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding lead in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent left-leaning composition across Boulder, Fort Collins, and surrounding Front Range and mountain counties. He advanced unopposed in the June 30, 2026, Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a 27-year-old massage therapist, prevailed in her primary but faces structural barriers in a district last won by a Republican in 1972. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly or safely Democratic, aligning with the current 95.5% trader consensus on Neguse. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate withdrawal, or major local controversy before November 3, 2026, could still alter the outcome in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,739End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Joe Neguse, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding lead in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent left-leaning composition across Boulder, Fort Collins, and surrounding Front Range and mountain counties. He advanced unopposed in the June 30, 2026, Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a 27-year-old massage therapist, prevailed in her primary but faces structural barriers in a district last won by a Republican in 1972. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly or safely Democratic, aligning with the current 95.5% trader consensus on Neguse. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate withdrawal, or major local controversy before November 3, 2026, could still alter the outcome in this low-competition environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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