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Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Elections·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Brad Cohen 38%

Adam Hamawy 26%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Susan Altman 17%

Polymarket

$18,026 Vol.

Brad Cohen 38%

Adam Hamawy 26%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%

Susan Altman 17%

Polymarket

$18,026 Vol.

Brad Cohen

$776 Vol.

38%

Adam Hamawy

$472 Vol.

26%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$0 Vol.

24%

Susan Altman

$14,124 Vol.

22%

Adrian Mapp

$0 Vol.

16%

Matthew Adams

$0 Vol.

4%

Elijah Dixon

$0 Vol.

3%

Raymond Heck

$749 Vol.

3%

Kyle Little

$0 Vol.

2%

Michael Anderson

$1,904 Vol.

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's open 12th congressional district Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus positions East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen as the frontrunner at 39%, driven by his lopsided Middlesex County Democratic endorsement win on March 11—securing 67% on the first ballot in the district's largest county—and an early fundraising lead of $279,000 reported in February. Physician and Gaza aid veteran Adam Hamawy has surged to 24.5% following recent progressive endorsements, including Justice Democrats on March 30 and groups like TrackAIPAC earlier in the month. Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (24%) benefits from Mercer County backing, while Susan Altman (21.5%) leverages a strong launch haul exceeding $250,000, in a crowded field lacking public polls where county lines and cash reserves shape early momentum.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,026
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's open 12th congressional district Democratic primary on June 2, trader consensus positions East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen as the frontrunner at 39%, driven by his lopsided Middlesex County Democratic endorsement win on March 11—securing 67% on the first ballot in the district's largest county—and an early fundraising lead of $279,000 reported in February. Physician and Gaza aid veteran Adam Hamawy has surged to 24.5% following recent progressive endorsements, including Justice Democrats on March 30 and groups like TrackAIPAC earlier in the month. Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (24%) benefits from Mercer County backing, while Susan Altman (21.5%) leverages a strong launch haul exceeding $250,000, in a crowded field lacking public polls where county lines and cash reserves shape early momentum.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,026
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brad Cohen" at 38%, followed by "Adam Hamawy" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $18K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Brad Cohen" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adam Hamawy" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.