Next leader out of power in 2025?
$1,764,878 Vol.
None in 2025 94.0%
Maduro - Venezuela President 5.5%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President <1%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader <1%
None in 2025
$187,740 Vol.
94%
None in 2025
$187,740 Vol.
94%
Maduro - Venezuela President
$111,947 Vol.
6%
Maduro - Venezuela President
$111,947 Vol.
6%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$62,224 Vol.
<1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$62,224 Vol.
<1%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$50,134 Vol.
<1%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$50,134 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$50,690 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$50,690 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$38,195 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$38,195 Vol.
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$53,428 Vol.
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$53,428 Vol.
<1%
Trump - USA President
$132,670 Vol.
<1%
Trump - USA President
$132,670 Vol.
<1%
Putin - Russia President
$57,520 Vol.
<1%
Putin - Russia President
$57,520 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$49,961 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$49,961 Vol.
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$76,871 Vol.
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$76,871 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$32,158 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$32,158 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$33,291 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$33,291 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$29,876 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$29,876 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$31,161 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$31,161 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$21,266 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$21,266 Vol.
<1%
Starmer - UK PM
$45,587 Vol.
<1%
Starmer - UK PM
$45,587 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$131,351 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$131,351 Vol.
<1%
Lecornu - France PM
$89,410 Vol.
<1%
Lecornu - France PM
$89,410 Vol.
<1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$185,506 Vol.
<1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$185,506 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$25,746 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$25,746 Vol.
<1%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$266,097 Vol.
<1%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$266,097 Vol.
<1%
Rules
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Oct 21, 2025, 6:30 PM UTC
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$1,764,878 Vol.
Next leader out of power in 2025?
None in 2025 94.0%
Maduro - Venezuela President 5.5%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President <1%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader <1%
None in 2025
94%
Maduro - Venezuela President
6%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
<1%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
<1%
Trump - USA President
<1%
Putin - Russia President
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
<1%
Macron - France President
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
Starmer - UK PM
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
<1%
Lecornu - France PM
<1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.