Next leader out of power in 2025?
$2,242,167 Vol.
None in 2025 100.0%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President <1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP <1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM <1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$34,366 Vol.
No
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$34,366 Vol.
No
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$40,288 Vol.
No
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$40,288 Vol.
No
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$101,780 Vol.
No
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$101,780 Vol.
No
Newsom - California Governor
$29,030 Vol.
No
Newsom - California Governor
$29,030 Vol.
No
Starmer - UK PM
$52,843 Vol.
No
Starmer - UK PM
$52,843 Vol.
No
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$96,872 Vol.
No
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$96,872 Vol.
No
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$137,247 Vol.
No
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$137,247 Vol.
No
Lecornu - France PM
$101,635 Vol.
No
Lecornu - France PM
$101,635 Vol.
No
Takaichi - Japan PM
$190,847 Vol.
No
Takaichi - Japan PM
$190,847 Vol.
No
None in 2025
$326,884 Vol.
Yes
None in 2025
$326,884 Vol.
Yes
Abbas - President of Palestine
$68,250 Vol.
No
Abbas - President of Palestine
$68,250 Vol.
No
Macron - France President
$38,359 Vol.
No
Macron - France President
$38,359 Vol.
No
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$38,148 Vol.
No
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$38,148 Vol.
No
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$106,133 Vol.
No
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$106,133 Vol.
No
Albanese - Australia PM
$56,815 Vol.
No
Albanese - Australia PM
$56,815 Vol.
No
Milei - Argentina President
$28,766 Vol.
No
Milei - Argentina President
$28,766 Vol.
No
Trump - USA President
$151,576 Vol.
No
Trump - USA President
$151,576 Vol.
No
Putin - Russia President
$63,709 Vol.
No
Putin - Russia President
$63,709 Vol.
No
Maduro - Venezuela President
$215,906 Vol.
No
Maduro - Venezuela President
$215,906 Vol.
No
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$268,097 Vol.
No
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$268,097 Vol.
No
Merz - German Chancellor
$36,396 Vol.
No
Merz - German Chancellor
$36,396 Vol.
No
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$56,069 Vol.
No
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$56,069 Vol.
No
Rules
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Oct 21, 2025, 6:30 PM UTC
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$2,242,167 Vol.
Next leader out of power in 2025?
None in 2025 100.0%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President <1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP <1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM <1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
No
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
No
Netanyahu - Israel PM
No
Newsom - California Governor
No
Starmer - UK PM
No
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
No
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
No
Lecornu - France PM
No
Takaichi - Japan PM
No
None in 2025
Yes
Abbas - President of Palestine
No
Macron - France President
No
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
No
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
No
Albanese - Australia PM
No
Milei - Argentina President
No
Trump - USA President
No
Putin - Russia President
No
Maduro - Venezuela President
No
Schoof - Netherlands PM
No
Merz - German Chancellor
No
Sánchez - Spanish PM
No
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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