Skip to main content
Market icon
Politics·Primaries

New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Deb Haaland 80%

Sam Bregman 20%

Ken Miyagishima <1%

Polymarket

$20,852 Vol.

Deb Haaland 80%

Sam Bregman 20%

Ken Miyagishima <1%

Polymarket

$20,852 Vol.

Deb Haaland

$8,973 Vol.

80%

Sam Bregman

$9,280 Vol.

20%

Ken Miyagishima

$2,599 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland commands trader consensus at 80% implied probability for the New Mexico Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by her overwhelming 73% victory at the party's March pre-primary convention, endorsements from all three congressional representatives and Senator Ben Ray Luján, and a dominant fundraising edge—recent reports show her four-to-one cash advantage over Bernalillo County District Attorney Sam Bregman after combined spending neared $14 million in the costliest primary in state history. Bregman holds 20% on his prosecutor record and touted Albuquerque crime drops, while ex-Las Cruces Mayor Ken Miyagishima lingers at 0.3% after switching to independent in February. With early voting imminent, polls consistently show Haaland ahead amid a consolidated two-way race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,852
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland commands trader consensus at 80% implied probability for the New Mexico Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by her overwhelming 73% victory at the party's March pre-primary convention, endorsements from all three congressional representatives and Senator Ben Ray Luján, and a dominant fundraising edge—recent reports show her four-to-one cash advantage over Bernalillo County District Attorney Sam Bregman after combined spending neared $14 million in the costliest primary in state history. Bregman holds 20% on his prosecutor record and touted Albuquerque crime drops, while ex-Las Cruces Mayor Ken Miyagishima lingers at 0.3% after switching to independent in February. With early voting imminent, polls consistently show Haaland ahead amid a consolidated two-way race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,852
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related

Market icon

Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

50%
Market icon

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?

86%
Market icon

Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?

80%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Deb Haaland" at 80%, followed by "Sam Bregman" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $20.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Deb Haaland" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sam Bregman" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.