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Politics·Primaries

Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner

Mike Rogers 93%

Kent Benham 3.4%

Andrew Kamal 2.5%

Fred Heurtebise 1.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Mike Rogers 93%

Kent Benham 3.4%

Andrew Kamal 2.5%

Fred Heurtebise 1.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Mike Rogers

$3,160 Vol.

93%

Kent Benham

$0 Vol.

3%

Andrew Kamal

$0 Vol.

3%

Fred Heurtebise

$0 Vol.

2%

Genevieve Scott

$0 Vol.

2%

Bernadette Smith

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Rep. Mike Rogers commands 92.5% implied probability in the Michigan Republican Senate primary due to a commanding lead in the latest Emerson College poll (April 11-13), bolstered by President Trump's endorsement, a $45 million early investment from the Senate Leadership Fund super PAC, and $4.2 million cash-on-hand after Q1 fundraising. He secured his August 4 primary ballot spot by filing signatures this week, while challengers like Kent Benham and Andrew Kamal trail far behind with minimal visibility or resources. Trader consensus reflects GOP consolidation behind the battle-tested incumbent-challenger absent viable alternatives, though late scandals, a high-profile entrant, or intraparty fractures could erode his dominance ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$3,160
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Rep. Mike Rogers commands 92.5% implied probability in the Michigan Republican Senate primary due to a commanding lead in the latest Emerson College poll (April 11-13), bolstered by President Trump's endorsement, a $45 million early investment from the Senate Leadership Fund super PAC, and $4.2 million cash-on-hand after Q1 fundraising. He secured his August 4 primary ballot spot by filing signatures this week, while challengers like Kent Benham and Andrew Kamal trail far behind with minimal visibility or resources. Trader consensus reflects GOP consolidation behind the battle-tested incumbent-challenger absent viable alternatives, though late scandals, a high-profile entrant, or intraparty fractures could erode his dominance ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$3,160
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Rogers" at 93%, followed by "Kent Benham" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 22, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Mike Rogers" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kent Benham" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michigan Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.