Terri Pickens leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability in Idaho's Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by her name recognition from the 2022 lieutenant governor race where she garnered 30.5% statewide despite a Republican-dominated field. Recent campaign finance reports from early April position her as the top Democratic fundraiser, providing a financial edge over challengers amid the set candidate field post-March filing deadline. Maxine Durand follows at 17% with public administration experience in transportation and nonprofits, appealing to policy-focused voters, while Jill Kirkham, Chanelle Torrez, and withdrawn candidate Stephen Heidt trail amid limited visibility. Early voting begins April 27, with low Democratic turnout historically favoring established names like Pickens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTerri Pickens 59%
Maxine Durand 12%
Chanelle Torrez 7.7%
Jill Kirkham 7.2%
$79,206 Vol.
$79,206 Vol.
Terri Pickens
59%
Maxine Durand
17%
Chanelle Torrez
8%
Jill Kirkham
9%
Stephen Heidt
2%
Terri Pickens 59%
Maxine Durand 12%
Chanelle Torrez 7.7%
Jill Kirkham 7.2%
$79,206 Vol.
$79,206 Vol.
Terri Pickens
59%
Maxine Durand
17%
Chanelle Torrez
8%
Jill Kirkham
9%
Stephen Heidt
2%
If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Terri Pickens leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability in Idaho's Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by her name recognition from the 2022 lieutenant governor race where she garnered 30.5% statewide despite a Republican-dominated field. Recent campaign finance reports from early April position her as the top Democratic fundraiser, providing a financial edge over challengers amid the set candidate field post-March filing deadline. Maxine Durand follows at 17% with public administration experience in transportation and nonprofits, appealing to policy-focused voters, while Jill Kirkham, Chanelle Torrez, and withdrawn candidate Stephen Heidt trail amid limited visibility. Early voting begins April 27, with low Democratic turnout historically favoring established names like Pickens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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