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Politics·Primaries

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

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Politics·Primaries

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Mike Collins 90%

Derek Dooley 7.7%

Earl Carter 1.0%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman <1%

Polymarket

$555,132 Vol.

Mike Collins 90%

Derek Dooley 7.7%

Earl Carter 1.0%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman <1%

Polymarket

$555,132 Vol.

Mike Collins

$15,890 Vol.

90%

Derek Dooley

$246,778 Vol.

8%

Earl Carter

$238,810 Vol.

1%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman

$12,028 Vol.

<1%

Rick Temple

$7,768 Vol.

<1%

Reagan Box

$8,808 Vol.

<1%

Christina Loren Clement

$10,188 Vol.

<1%

Jonathan McColumn

$6,763 Vol.

<1%

Vinson Watkins

$8,099 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Rep. Mike Collins commands a dominant position in the Georgia Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, as reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 89.5% to secure the nomination against Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff in November.** Recent polls, including a survey released four days ago showing Collins far ahead and an AJC/UGA poll of likely GOP primary voters underscoring his lead over Rep. Buddy Carter (Earl Carter at 0.9%) and political newcomer Derek Dooley (7.8%), have driven this sentiment. Collins' consistent polling averages (RCP +13.5), strong fundraising nearing $2 million, and appeal to the Republican base as a MAGA-aligned House incumbent outweigh rivals' efforts, such as Dooley's Governor Kemp-backed outsider campaign and recent forums. With early voting approaching, no late endorsements like from Trump have disrupted his momentum, though a fragmented field leaves room for runoff risks if no candidate exceeds 50%.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia.

If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$555,132
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Rep. Mike Collins commands a dominant position in the Georgia Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, as reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 89.5% to secure the nomination against Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff in November.** Recent polls, including a survey released four days ago showing Collins far ahead and an AJC/UGA poll of likely GOP primary voters underscoring his lead over Rep. Buddy Carter (Earl Carter at 0.9%) and political newcomer Derek Dooley (7.8%), have driven this sentiment. Collins' consistent polling averages (RCP +13.5), strong fundraising nearing $2 million, and appeal to the Republican base as a MAGA-aligned House incumbent outweigh rivals' efforts, such as Dooley's Governor Kemp-backed outsider campaign and recent forums. With early voting approaching, no late endorsements like from Trump have disrupted his momentum, though a fragmented field leaves room for runoff risks if no candidate exceeds 50%.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia.

If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$555,132
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Collins" at 90%, followed by "Derek Dooley" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $555.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Mike Collins" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Derek Dooley" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.