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Politics·Primaries

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Mike Collins 79%

Derek Dooley 9.0%

Earl Carter 6.2%

Christina Loren Clement <1%

Polymarket

$493,719 Vol.

Mike Collins 79%

Derek Dooley 9.0%

Earl Carter 6.2%

Christina Loren Clement <1%

Polymarket

$493,719 Vol.

Mike Collins

$8,644 Vol.

79%

Derek Dooley

$238,024 Vol.

9%

Earl Carter

$231,561 Vol.

6%

Christina Loren Clement

$6,213 Vol.

1%

Reagan Box

$4,923 Vol.

<1%

Christoph La'Flare Chapman

$0 Vol.

<1%

Rick Temple

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jonathan McColumn

$0 Vol.

<1%

Vinson Watkins

$4,355 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Mike Collins commands overwhelming trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win Georgia's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, fueled by his lead in the March Emerson poll (30% to Buddy Carter's 16% and Derek Dooley's 10%, with 40% undecided), robust grassroots support, and strong fundraising nearing $2 million. Recent attacks from Collins targeting Dooley's ties to Gov. Brian Kemp—who has ramped up joint campaign stops—have reinforced Collins' frontrunner status amid intraparty divisions, while frontrunners skipped the first primary debate last week, spotlighting Carter's participation. High undecideds leave room for a runoff on June 16, but traders see Collins consolidating the field to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff.

Rep. Mike Collins commands overwhelming trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win Georgia's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, fueled by his lead in the March Emerson poll (30% to Buddy Carter's 16% and Derek Dooley's 10%, with 40% undecided), robust grassroots support, and strong fundraising nearing $2 million. Recent attacks from Collins targeting Dooley's ties to Gov. Brian Kemp—who has ramped up joint campaign stops—have reinforced Collins' frontrunner status amid intraparty divisions, while frontrunners skipped the first primary debate last week, spotlighting Carter's participation. High undecideds leave room for a runoff on June 16, but traders see Collins consolidating the field to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Mike Collins commands overwhelming trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win Georgia's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, fueled by his lead in the March Emerson poll (30% to Buddy Carter's 16% and Derek Dooley's 10%, with 40% undecided), robust grassroots support, and strong fundraising nearing $2 million. Recent attacks from Collins targeting Dooley's ties to Gov. Brian Kemp—who has ramped up joint campaign stops—have reinforced Collins' frontrunner status amid intraparty divisions, while frontrunners skipped the first primary debate last week, spotlighting Carter's participation. High undecideds leave room for a runoff on June 16, but traders see Collins consolidating the field to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff.

Rep. Mike Collins commands overwhelming trader consensus at 79% implied probability to win Georgia's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, fueled by his lead in the March Emerson poll (30% to Buddy Carter's 16% and Derek Dooley's 10%, with 40% undecided), robust grassroots support, and strong fundraising nearing $2 million. Recent attacks from Collins targeting Dooley's ties to Gov. Brian Kemp—who has ramped up joint campaign stops—have reinforced Collins' frontrunner status amid intraparty divisions, while frontrunners skipped the first primary debate last week, spotlighting Carter's participation. High undecideds leave room for a runoff on June 16, but traders see Collins consolidating the field to challenge Sen. Jon Ossoff.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Collins" at 79%, followed by "Derek Dooley" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $493.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Mike Collins" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Derek Dooley" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.