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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$929,462,538 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$929,462,538 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,345,177 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,048,079 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,743,194 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,586,450 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,354,853 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,794,616 Vol.

4%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,543,804 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,399,298 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,668,310 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$5,999,597 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,810,926 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,503,736 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,413,095 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,119,505 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,089,108 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$42,891,311 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,313,672 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,007,130 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$20,759,312 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,516,203 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,605,381 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,619,358 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,329,465 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,716,306 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,377,544 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,886,013 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,531,298 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,170,632 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$31,979,954 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,284,559 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,087,064 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$36,954,979 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,674,294 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,131,998 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,246,157 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,064,872 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,363,859 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,844,014 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,310,362 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,269,766 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,240,760 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,199,438 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,469,524 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,216,306 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket's Democratic presidential nominee 2028 odds at 24.3% implied probability, driven by his March book tour in New Hampshire—testing early primary waters—and a March 12 California poll showing a 14-point edge over Kamala Harris, bolstering his executive experience and national anti-Trump profile amid party reckoning post-2024. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds 8.3% on progressive grassroots energy and social media reach, though centrist groups like Third Way mobilized in March against left-wing frontrunners to prioritize electability. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.8% stems from Georgia battleground wins appealing to swing-state math. This fragmented field, with no outcome above 25%, could consolidate via 2026 midterm performances, fundraising dominance, key endorsements, or polling shifts favoring incumbents or moderates.

California Governor Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket's Democratic presidential nominee 2028 odds at 24.3% implied probability, driven by his March book tour in New Hampshire—testing early primary waters—and a March 12 California poll showing a 14-point edge over Kamala Harris, bolstering his executive experience and national anti-Trump profile amid party reckoning post-2024. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds 8.3% on progressive grassroots energy and social media reach, though centrist groups like Third Way mobilized in March against left-wing frontrunners to prioritize electability. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.8% stems from Georgia battleground wins appealing to swing-state math. This fragmented field, with no outcome above 25%, could consolidate via 2026 midterm performances, fundraising dominance, key endorsements, or polling shifts favoring incumbents or moderates.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket's Democratic presidential nominee 2028 odds at 24.3% implied probability, driven by his March book tour in New Hampshire—testing early primary waters—and a March 12 California poll showing a 14-point edge over Kamala Harris, bolstering his executive experience and national anti-Trump profile amid party reckoning post-2024. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds 8.3% on progressive grassroots energy and social media reach, though centrist groups like Third Way mobilized in March against left-wing frontrunners to prioritize electability. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.8% stems from Georgia battleground wins appealing to swing-state math. This fragmented field, with no outcome above 25%, could consolidate via 2026 midterm performances, fundraising dominance, key endorsements, or polling shifts favoring incumbents or moderates.

California Governor Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket's Democratic presidential nominee 2028 odds at 24.3% implied probability, driven by his March book tour in New Hampshire—testing early primary waters—and a March 12 California poll showing a 14-point edge over Kamala Harris, bolstering his executive experience and national anti-Trump profile amid party reckoning post-2024. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds 8.3% on progressive grassroots energy and social media reach, though centrist groups like Third Way mobilized in March against left-wing frontrunners to prioritize electability. Sen. Jon Ossoff's 5.8% stems from Georgia battleground wins appealing to swing-state math. This fragmented field, with no outcome above 25%, could consolidate via 2026 midterm performances, fundraising dominance, key endorsements, or polling shifts favoring incumbents or moderates.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $929.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.