Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$936,492,462 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$936,492,462 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$16,567,348 Vol.

24%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,132,841 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$5,846,561 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$8,670,464 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$9,473,965 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$5,875,553 Vol.

4%

Market icon

James Talarico

$3,609,129 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$11,666,744 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Andy Beshear

$6,152,074 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$9,856,165 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Mark Kelly

$10,986,480 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ruben Gallego

$3,553,358 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$13,487,004 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ro Khanna

$4,211,503 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$7,154,027 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Michelle Obama

$21,394,945 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$21,190,903 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$11,141,420 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$13,806,588 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Oprah Winfrey

$43,241,283 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$17,691,728 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,718,250 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$16,942,147 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Liz Cheney

$32,058,770 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$32,982,273 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$44,379,854 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$11,395,719 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$24,666,430 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$27,311,903 Vol.

1%

Market icon

George Clooney

$37,187,724 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$32,841,228 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jared Polis

$19,315,930 Vol.

1%

Market icon

LeBron James

$38,525,432 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$35,185,461 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$37,361,105 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$25,659,265 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$36,463,670 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$41,996,894 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Phil Murphy

$33,393,717 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$31,413,505 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jasmine Crockett

$22,372,846 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Raphael Warnock

$24,511,025 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$38,654,271 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$31,450,737 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3%, driven by his dominant showings in recent California primary polls—including a March 20 LA Times/UC Berkeley survey and March 12 Politico poll where he leads former Vice President Kamala Harris (now at 4.5%) by double digits among home-state Democrats—highlighting his executive experience and national anti-Trump profile in a post-2024 regrouping. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.1% on progressive appeal and fundraising prowess, while Jon Ossoff (5.6%) benefits from Georgia Senate incumbency and youth. The wide-open field, with no formal announcements, differentiates leaders by governing records, ideological lanes, and swing-state viability; 2026 midterms, early endorsements, or debate performances could consolidate support ahead of Iowa caucuses.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3%, driven by his dominant showings in recent California primary polls—including a March 20 LA Times/UC Berkeley survey and March 12 Politico poll where he leads former Vice President Kamala Harris (now at 4.5%) by double digits among home-state Democrats—highlighting his executive experience and national anti-Trump profile in a post-2024 regrouping. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.1% on progressive appeal and fundraising prowess, while Jon Ossoff (5.6%) benefits from Georgia Senate incumbency and youth. The wide-open field, with no formal announcements, differentiates leaders by governing records, ideological lanes, and swing-state viability; 2026 midterms, early endorsements, or debate performances could consolidate support ahead of Iowa caucuses.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3%, driven by his dominant showings in recent California primary polls—including a March 20 LA Times/UC Berkeley survey and March 12 Politico poll where he leads former Vice President Kamala Harris (now at 4.5%) by double digits among home-state Democrats—highlighting his executive experience and national anti-Trump profile in a post-2024 regrouping. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.1% on progressive appeal and fundraising prowess, while Jon Ossoff (5.6%) benefits from Georgia Senate incumbency and youth. The wide-open field, with no formal announcements, differentiates leaders by governing records, ideological lanes, and swing-state viability; 2026 midterms, early endorsements, or debate performances could consolidate support ahead of Iowa caucuses.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3%, driven by his dominant showings in recent California primary polls—including a March 20 LA Times/UC Berkeley survey and March 12 Politico poll where he leads former Vice President Kamala Harris (now at 4.5%) by double digits among home-state Democrats—highlighting his executive experience and national anti-Trump profile in a post-2024 regrouping. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.1% on progressive appeal and fundraising prowess, while Jon Ossoff (5.6%) benefits from Georgia Senate incumbency and youth. The wide-open field, with no formal announcements, differentiates leaders by governing records, ideological lanes, and swing-state viability; 2026 midterms, early endorsements, or debate performances could consolidate support ahead of Iowa caucuses.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $936.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.