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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$928,194,746 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$928,194,746 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,195,175 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,042,051 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,736,857 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,577,536 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,340,738 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,774,899 Vol.

4%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,539,669 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,392,269 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,664,405 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$5,993,819 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,805,995 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,498,486 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,115,348 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,405,824 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,063,324 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$42,798,114 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,308,594 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$20,612,791 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$10,979,720 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,453,073 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,585,241 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,561,627 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,321,251 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,677,758 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,314,207 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,132,543 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$31,951,665 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,867,894 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,278,587 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,037,680 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,519,217 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$36,929,783 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,658,896 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,113,269 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,223,240 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,031,038 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,355,496 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,823,101 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,302,350 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,257,505 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,218,215 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,102,305 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,444,688 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,196,528 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24.4% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in a fragmented field, driven by his recent national polling surge—including a March POLITICO poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in their home-state primary—and a high-profile book tour in early states like New Hampshire that has amplified speculation. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% amid progressive enthusiasm, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects his swing-state Senate victories. Key differentiators include Newsom's fundraising prowess and anti-Trump rhetoric, AOC's grassroots mobilization, and Ossoff's battleground appeal; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results boosting governors like Shapiro or Whitmer, early primary polling, and donor commitments in this wide-open primary race.

California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24.4% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in a fragmented field, driven by his recent national polling surge—including a March POLITICO poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in their home-state primary—and a high-profile book tour in early states like New Hampshire that has amplified speculation. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% amid progressive enthusiasm, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects his swing-state Senate victories. Key differentiators include Newsom's fundraising prowess and anti-Trump rhetoric, AOC's grassroots mobilization, and Ossoff's battleground appeal; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results boosting governors like Shapiro or Whitmer, early primary polling, and donor commitments in this wide-open primary race.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24.4% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in a fragmented field, driven by his recent national polling surge—including a March POLITICO poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in their home-state primary—and a high-profile book tour in early states like New Hampshire that has amplified speculation. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% amid progressive enthusiasm, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects his swing-state Senate victories. Key differentiators include Newsom's fundraising prowess and anti-Trump rhetoric, AOC's grassroots mobilization, and Ossoff's battleground appeal; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results boosting governors like Shapiro or Whitmer, early primary polling, and donor commitments in this wide-open primary race.

California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24.4% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination in a fragmented field, driven by his recent national polling surge—including a March POLITICO poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in their home-state primary—and a high-profile book tour in early states like New Hampshire that has amplified speculation. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% amid progressive enthusiasm, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects his swing-state Senate victories. Key differentiators include Newsom's fundraising prowess and anti-Trump rhetoric, AOC's grassroots mobilization, and Ossoff's battleground appeal; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results boosting governors like Shapiro or Whitmer, early primary polling, and donor commitments in this wide-open primary race.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $928.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.