Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Name: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Start: 2025-07-11T18:41:17.827Z
End: 2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Discussion

MaskedAnalyst · 2025-07-11T18:41:17.827Z

Discussion about Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

$939,760,698 Vol.

Nov 7, 2028

Earn 4%

Gavin Newsom

$16,649,321 Vol.

24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,189,516 Vol.

Jon Ossoff

$5,887,370 Vol.

Kamala Harris

$8,729,466 Vol.

Josh Shapiro

$5,912,249 Vol.

Pete Buttigieg

$9,519,395 Vol.

Andy Beshear

$6,303,368 Vol.

James Talarico

$3,842,237 Vol.

Jon Stewart

$10,094,598 Vol.

J.B. Pritzker

$11,699,903 Vol.

Mark Kelly

$11,051,124 Vol.

Ruben Gallego

$3,598,359 Vol.

Wes Moore

$13,519,228 Vol.

Gretchen Whitmer

$7,194,793 Vol.

Ro Khanna

$4,232,341 Vol.

Michelle Obama

$21,441,688 Vol.

Rahm Emanuel

$11,180,017 Vol.

Oprah Winfrey

$43,286,154 Vol.

Stephen A. Smith

$13,859,804 Vol.

Cory Booker

$21,276,064 Vol.

Mark Cuban

$17,758,210 Vol.

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,771,414 Vol.

John Fetterman

$16,998,642 Vol.

Chris Murphy

$11,421,021 Vol.

Zohran Mamdani

$33,031,688 Vol.

Chelsea Clinton

$44,473,962 Vol.

LeBron James

$38,589,288 Vol.

George Clooney

$37,287,336 Vol.

Liz Cheney

$32,137,745 Vol.

MrBeast

$35,261,197 Vol.

Roy Cooper

$24,745,806 Vol.

Hillary Clinton

$37,446,091 Vol.

Gina Raimondo

$27,413,868 Vol.

Barack Obama

$25,897,488 Vol.

Tim Walz

$36,526,088 Vol.

Andrew Yang

$42,046,991 Vol.

Kim Kardashian

$32,916,312 Vol.

Jared Polis

$19,403,557 Vol.

Phil Murphy

$33,444,298 Vol.

Hunter Biden

$31,459,949 Vol.

Jasmine Crockett

$22,443,500 Vol.

Raphael Warnock

$24,583,844 Vol.

Bernie Sanders

$38,752,176 Vol.

Beto O’Rourke

$31,508,986 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

$939,760,698 Vol.

Nov 7, 2028

Earn 4%

Gavin Newsom

$16,649,321 Vol.

24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,189,516 Vol.

Jon Ossoff

$5,887,370 Vol.

Kamala Harris

$8,729,466 Vol.

Josh Shapiro

$5,912,249 Vol.

Pete Buttigieg

$9,519,395 Vol.

Andy Beshear

$6,303,368 Vol.

James Talarico

$3,842,237 Vol.

Jon Stewart

$10,094,598 Vol.

J.B. Pritzker

$11,699,903 Vol.

Mark Kelly

$11,051,124 Vol.

Ruben Gallego

$3,598,359 Vol.

Wes Moore

$13,519,228 Vol.

Gretchen Whitmer

$7,194,793 Vol.

Ro Khanna

$4,232,341 Vol.

Michelle Obama

$21,441,688 Vol.

Rahm Emanuel

$11,180,017 Vol.

Oprah Winfrey

$43,286,154 Vol.

Stephen A. Smith

$13,859,804 Vol.

Cory Booker

$21,276,064 Vol.

Mark Cuban

$17,758,210 Vol.

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,771,414 Vol.

John Fetterman

$16,998,642 Vol.

Chris Murphy

$11,421,021 Vol.

Zohran Mamdani

$33,031,688 Vol.

Chelsea Clinton

$44,473,962 Vol.

LeBron James

$38,589,288 Vol.

George Clooney

$37,287,336 Vol.

Liz Cheney

$32,137,745 Vol.

MrBeast

$35,261,197 Vol.

Roy Cooper

$24,745,806 Vol.

Hillary Clinton

$37,446,091 Vol.

Gina Raimondo

$27,413,868 Vol.

Barack Obama

$25,897,488 Vol.

Tim Walz

$36,526,088 Vol.

Andrew Yang

$42,046,991 Vol.

Kim Kardashian

$32,916,312 Vol.

Jared Polis

$19,403,557 Vol.

Phil Murphy

$33,444,298 Vol.

Hunter Biden

$31,459,949 Vol.

Jasmine Crockett

$22,443,500 Vol.

Raphael Warnock

$24,583,844 Vol.

Bernie Sanders

$38,752,176 Vol.

Beto O’Rourke

$31,508,986 Vol.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Gov. Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3% implied probability, driven by recent Emerson College polling showing him leading national Democrats at 20% and his $25 million war chest bolstering national ambitions amid term limits. The wide-open field reflects post-2024 recalibration, with Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.3% appealing to progressives, Sen. Jon Ossoff at 5.5% leveraging Georgia's battleground success, and former VP Kamala Harris at 4.5% fading after her defeat. High trading volume over $900 million underscores uncertainty; consolidation may hinge on 2026 midterm results, key endorsements, or economic shifts under Trump.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 30, 2026, 1:01 PM UTC

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $939.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $939.8 million traded on “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 24¢ for "Gavin Newsom" in the "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 24% chance that "Gavin Newsom" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 24¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 76¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Nov 7, 2028 — that's roughly over 3 years away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.

The "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" market has an active community of 626 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

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Comments (626)

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