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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$938,938,657 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$938,938,657 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,638,034 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,169,251 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,875,019 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,720,379 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,903,410 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,508,297 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,792,159 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$6,276,633 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,693,094 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$10,059,818 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,035,328 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,586,082 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,510,625 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,183,786 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$4,231,463 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,431,941 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,263,029 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,179,838 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,278,726 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,745,926 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,848,386 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,762,825 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,986,267 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,577,410 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,418,941 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,104,520 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,013,620 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,461,242 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,730,931 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,392,994 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,265,380 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,252,288 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,434,358 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,751,001 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,513,116 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,033,185 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,890,469 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,361,906 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,427,415 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,444,808 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,429,158 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,564,148 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,733,446 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,492,326 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3% implied probability, driven by his national fundraising strength, executive experience, and role as a prominent Trump critic in recent interviews and media appearances. Recent national polls, including March surveys from Noble Predictive Insights (Harris 31%, Newsom 16%) and JL Partners (Harris 22%, Newsom 19%), show Kamala Harris narrowly ahead in aggregates, but traders discount her prospects post-2024 loss amid electability concerns. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.2% draws progressive support, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects Georgia swing-state appeal. In this wide-open primary field, 2026 midterm performances by governors and senators could consolidate support through endorsements and momentum.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3% implied probability, driven by his national fundraising strength, executive experience, and role as a prominent Trump critic in recent interviews and media appearances. Recent national polls, including March surveys from Noble Predictive Insights (Harris 31%, Newsom 16%) and JL Partners (Harris 22%, Newsom 19%), show Kamala Harris narrowly ahead in aggregates, but traders discount her prospects post-2024 loss amid electability concerns. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.2% draws progressive support, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects Georgia swing-state appeal. In this wide-open primary field, 2026 midterm performances by governors and senators could consolidate support through endorsements and momentum.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3% implied probability, driven by his national fundraising strength, executive experience, and role as a prominent Trump critic in recent interviews and media appearances. Recent national polls, including March surveys from Noble Predictive Insights (Harris 31%, Newsom 16%) and JL Partners (Harris 22%, Newsom 19%), show Kamala Harris narrowly ahead in aggregates, but traders discount her prospects post-2024 loss amid electability concerns. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.2% draws progressive support, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects Georgia swing-state appeal. In this wide-open primary field, 2026 midterm performances by governors and senators could consolidate support through endorsements and momentum.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee frontrunner at 24.3% implied probability, driven by his national fundraising strength, executive experience, and role as a prominent Trump critic in recent interviews and media appearances. Recent national polls, including March surveys from Noble Predictive Insights (Harris 31%, Newsom 16%) and JL Partners (Harris 22%, Newsom 19%), show Kamala Harris narrowly ahead in aggregates, but traders discount her prospects post-2024 loss amid electability concerns. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.2% draws progressive support, while Jon Ossoff's 5.7% reflects Georgia swing-state appeal. In this wide-open primary field, 2026 midterm performances by governors and senators could consolidate support through endorsements and momentum.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $938.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.