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Politics·Primaries

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Victor Marx 58%

Barbara Kirkmeyer 32%

Bob Brinkerhoff 3.0%

Brycen Garrison 3.0%

Polymarket

$73,229 Vol.

Victor Marx 58%

Barbara Kirkmeyer 32%

Bob Brinkerhoff 3.0%

Brycen Garrison 3.0%

Polymarket

$73,229 Vol.

Victor Marx

$2,595 Vol.

58%

Barbara Kirkmeyer

$16,381 Vol.

32%

Bob Brinkerhoff

$1,212 Vol.

3%

Brycen Garrison

$1,074 Vol.

3%

Daniel Thomas

$1,106 Vol.

3%

Jon Gray-Ginsberg

$5,561 Vol.

3%

Greg Lopez

$1,946 Vol.

3%

Joshua Griffin

$1,433 Vol.

2%

Scott Bottoms

$1,827 Vol.

2%

Will McBride

$27,930 Vol.

1%

Stevan Gess

$3,083 Vol.

1%

Mark Baisley

$6,101 Vol.

1%

Robert Moore

$831 Vol.

1%

Jason Clark

$1,039 Vol.

1%

Jason Mikesell

$1,110 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Victor Marx at 58% to win the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary on June 30, driven by his campaign's recent submission of over 28,500 petition signatures on March 18—surpassing Barbara Kirkmeyer's 21,000 and securing ballot access without relying on party assembly endorsement. Marx's rapid fundraising, including $1 million raised in 78 days, large social media following, and energetic precinct caucus appearances have boosted his momentum among base voters in the crowded field. Kirkmeyer, at 31.5%, benefits from legislative experience and endorsements like the Gazette editorial board, positioning her as the electability choice, though she trails in grassroots metrics. Upcoming April state assembly in Pueblo could elevate other candidates, but these two lead with ballot qualification locked in.

Trader consensus favors Victor Marx at 58% to win the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary on June 30, driven by his campaign's recent submission of over 28,500 petition signatures on March 18—surpassing Barbara Kirkmeyer's 21,000 and securing ballot access without relying on party assembly endorsement. Marx's rapid fundraising, including $1 million raised in 78 days, large social media following, and energetic precinct caucus appearances have boosted his momentum among base voters in the crowded field. Kirkmeyer, at 31.5%, benefits from legislative experience and endorsements like the Gazette editorial board, positioning her as the electability choice, though she trails in grassroots metrics. Upcoming April state assembly in Pueblo could elevate other candidates, but these two lead with ballot qualification locked in.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Victor Marx at 58% to win the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary on June 30, driven by his campaign's recent submission of over 28,500 petition signatures on March 18—surpassing Barbara Kirkmeyer's 21,000 and securing ballot access without relying on party assembly endorsement. Marx's rapid fundraising, including $1 million raised in 78 days, large social media following, and energetic precinct caucus appearances have boosted his momentum among base voters in the crowded field. Kirkmeyer, at 31.5%, benefits from legislative experience and endorsements like the Gazette editorial board, positioning her as the electability choice, though she trails in grassroots metrics. Upcoming April state assembly in Pueblo could elevate other candidates, but these two lead with ballot qualification locked in.

Trader consensus favors Victor Marx at 58% to win the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary on June 30, driven by his campaign's recent submission of over 28,500 petition signatures on March 18—surpassing Barbara Kirkmeyer's 21,000 and securing ballot access without relying on party assembly endorsement. Marx's rapid fundraising, including $1 million raised in 78 days, large social media following, and energetic precinct caucus appearances have boosted his momentum among base voters in the crowded field. Kirkmeyer, at 31.5%, benefits from legislative experience and endorsements like the Gazette editorial board, positioning her as the electability choice, though she trails in grassroots metrics. Upcoming April state assembly in Pueblo could elevate other candidates, but these two lead with ballot qualification locked in.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Victor Marx" at 58%, followed by "Barbara Kirkmeyer" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $73.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Victor Marx" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Barbara Kirkmeyer" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.