Incumbent U.S. Senator John Hickenlooper commands an 85.5% implied probability among traders for Colorado's Democratic Senate primary on June 30, reflecting his incumbency advantages, 92% name identification, 20-to-1 fundraising edge, and 45%-13% lead over State Sen. Julie Gonzales in the late February Data for Progress poll of likely primary voters. Gonzales boosted her 13.4% odds by capturing 74% of delegates at the March 29 state assembly in Pueblo—earning the top ballot spot—after Hickenlooper qualified separately via petition signatures submitted March 26, setting a two-way race amid 37% initial undecideds. Minor candidates like Karen Breslin linger below 2%, having failed assembly thresholds or lacking traction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedJohn Hickenlooper 86%
Julie Gonzales 13.4%
Karen Breslin 1.2%
Brashad Hasley <1%
$18,358 Vol.
$18,358 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
John Hickenlooper
86%
Julie Gonzales
13%
Karen Breslin
1%
Brashad Hasley
1%
Anthony Zimpfer
1%
Michael Scanlon
<1%
Nichole Miner
<1%
John Hickenlooper 86%
Julie Gonzales 13.4%
Karen Breslin 1.2%
Brashad Hasley <1%
$18,358 Vol.
$18,358 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
John Hickenlooper
$7,307 Vol.
86%
Julie Gonzales
$2,635 Vol.
13%
Karen Breslin
$2,126 Vol.
1%
Brashad Hasley
$1,690 Vol.
1%
Anthony Zimpfer
$1,592 Vol.
1%
Michael Scanlon
$1,340 Vol.
<1%
Nichole Miner
$1,668 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Colorado.
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator John Hickenlooper commands an 85.5% implied probability among traders for Colorado's Democratic Senate primary on June 30, reflecting his incumbency advantages, 92% name identification, 20-to-1 fundraising edge, and 45%-13% lead over State Sen. Julie Gonzales in the late February Data for Progress poll of likely primary voters. Gonzales boosted her 13.4% odds by capturing 74% of delegates at the March 29 state assembly in Pueblo—earning the top ballot spot—after Hickenlooper qualified separately via petition signatures submitted March 26, setting a two-way race amid 37% initial undecideds. Minor candidates like Karen Breslin linger below 2%, having failed assembly thresholds or lacking traction.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Colorado.
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Volume
$18,358End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Colorado.
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator John Hickenlooper commands an 85.5% implied probability among traders for Colorado's Democratic Senate primary on June 30, reflecting his incumbency advantages, 92% name identification, 20-to-1 fundraising edge, and 45%-13% lead over State Sen. Julie Gonzales in the late February Data for Progress poll of likely primary voters. Gonzales boosted her 13.4% odds by capturing 74% of delegates at the March 29 state assembly in Pueblo—earning the top ballot spot—after Hickenlooper qualified separately via petition signatures submitted March 26, setting a two-way race amid 37% initial undecideds. Minor candidates like Karen Breslin linger below 2%, having failed assembly thresholds or lacking traction.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Colorado.
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$18,358End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Senator John Hickenlooper commands an 85.5% implied probability among traders for Colorado's Democratic Senate primary on June 30, reflecting his incumbency advantages, 92% name identification, 20-to-1 fundraising edge, and 45%-13% lead over State Sen. Julie Gonzales in the late February Data for Progress poll of likely primary voters. Gonzales boosted her 13.4% odds by capturing 74% of delegates at the March 29 state assembly in Pueblo—earning the top ballot spot—after Hickenlooper qualified separately via petition signatures submitted March 26, setting a two-way race amid 37% initial undecideds. Minor candidates like Karen Breslin linger below 2%, having failed assembly thresholds or lacking traction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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