Trader consensus heavily favors former governor Yang Seung-jo at 76.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election, driven by Democratic Party polls showing him narrowly leading rival Park Soo-hyun (26.2% vs. 22.6% suitability in the March 27 Localtoday survey, within margin of error) ahead of the party's upcoming primary. Head-to-head matchups confirm Democratic challengers' edge over incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Tae-heum (42% Yang vs. 31%; 47% Park vs. 32% per Goodmorningcc six days ago), amid regional party support at 52% Democratic vs. 35% People Power. Rep. Moon Jin-seok's endorsement of Yang five days ago further solidified his frontrunner status in a province leaning Democratic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedChungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner
Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner
Yang Seung-jo 77%
Park Soo-hyun 18.4%
Kim Tae-heum 3.1%
Kang Seung-kyu <1%
$620,883 Vol.
$620,883 Vol.
Yang Seung-jo
77%
Park Soo-hyun
18%
Kim Tae-heum
3%
Kang Seung-kyu
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Chung Jin-suk
<1%
Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
Moon Jin-seok
<1%
Sung Il-jong
<1%
Yang Seung-jo 77%
Park Soo-hyun 18.4%
Kim Tae-heum 3.1%
Kang Seung-kyu <1%
$620,883 Vol.
$620,883 Vol.
Yang Seung-jo
77%
Park Soo-hyun
18%
Kim Tae-heum
3%
Kang Seung-kyu
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Chung Jin-suk
<1%
Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
Moon Jin-seok
<1%
Sung Il-jong
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors former governor Yang Seung-jo at 76.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election, driven by Democratic Party polls showing him narrowly leading rival Park Soo-hyun (26.2% vs. 22.6% suitability in the March 27 Localtoday survey, within margin of error) ahead of the party's upcoming primary. Head-to-head matchups confirm Democratic challengers' edge over incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Tae-heum (42% Yang vs. 31%; 47% Park vs. 32% per Goodmorningcc six days ago), amid regional party support at 52% Democratic vs. 35% People Power. Rep. Moon Jin-seok's endorsement of Yang five days ago further solidified his frontrunner status in a province leaning Democratic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions