Trader consensus heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 78.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by his strong performance in the Democratic Party of Korea's primary first round on March 27, where he advanced to a runoff against Noh Yeong-min next month after topping party member polls at 33.9% support. Recent surveys position Shin ahead among Democratic supporters and overall candidates, bolstering his frontrunner status amid People Power Party disarray, including the exclusion of incumbent Kim Young-hwan and Yoon Hee-geun's withdrawal from their primary two days ago. Noh Yeong-min trails at 13.5% on secondary Democratic chances, while Song Ki-sub holds 7.5% reflecting residual primary momentum, as general polls remain fluid ahead of nominations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedChungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner
Chungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner
Shin Yong-han 79%
Noh Yeong-min 15%
Song Ki-sub 4.5%
Cho Gil-hyeong 3.2%
$15,954 Vol.
$15,954 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
79%
Noh Yeong-min
15%
Song Ki-sub
5%
Cho Gil-hyeong
3%
Kim Young-hwan
3%
Do Jong-hwan
2%
Lee Jong-bae
2%
Yoon Hee-geun
2%
Shin Yong-han 79%
Noh Yeong-min 15%
Song Ki-sub 4.5%
Cho Gil-hyeong 3.2%
$15,954 Vol.
$15,954 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
79%
Noh Yeong-min
15%
Song Ki-sub
5%
Cho Gil-hyeong
3%
Kim Young-hwan
3%
Do Jong-hwan
2%
Lee Jong-bae
2%
Yoon Hee-geun
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 78.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by his strong performance in the Democratic Party of Korea's primary first round on March 27, where he advanced to a runoff against Noh Yeong-min next month after topping party member polls at 33.9% support. Recent surveys position Shin ahead among Democratic supporters and overall candidates, bolstering his frontrunner status amid People Power Party disarray, including the exclusion of incumbent Kim Young-hwan and Yoon Hee-geun's withdrawal from their primary two days ago. Noh Yeong-min trails at 13.5% on secondary Democratic chances, while Song Ki-sub holds 7.5% reflecting residual primary momentum, as general polls remain fluid ahead of nominations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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