Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 72.5% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% in May, reflecting the central bank's neutral stance reinforced by its February 26 decision to pause for the sixth straight meeting amid upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts to around 2.0%. March 2026 CPI rose 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but undershooting the 2.4% median estimate—driven by oil prices yet tempered by government measures, supporting no-change positioning while keeping hike odds at 23% amid won depreciation pressures and fixed mortgage rates hitting 7.01%. Rate cut bets languish at 4.5%, with limited dovish catalysts; watch the April 9-10 meeting for forward guidance shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 73%
Increase 23%
Decrease 5%
$16,838 Vol.
$16,838 Vol.
Decrease
5%
No Change
73%
Increase
23%
No Change 73%
Increase 23%
Decrease 5%
$16,838 Vol.
$16,838 Vol.
Decrease
5%
No Change
73%
Increase
23%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 72.5% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% in May, reflecting the central bank's neutral stance reinforced by its February 26 decision to pause for the sixth straight meeting amid upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts to around 2.0%. March 2026 CPI rose 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but undershooting the 2.4% median estimate—driven by oil prices yet tempered by government measures, supporting no-change positioning while keeping hike odds at 23% amid won depreciation pressures and fixed mortgage rates hitting 7.01%. Rate cut bets languish at 4.5%, with limited dovish catalysts; watch the April 9-10 meeting for forward guidance shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions