Civil Contract commands 82.5% trader consensus as the likely winner of Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting its incumbency edge and poll leads of 24-50% in recent surveys like IRI and Breavis amid 30% undecided voters and splintered opposition. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's re-nomination as the party's prime ministerial candidate during its March 29 congress, atop the finalized electoral list, reinforced internal unity. Arrests on March 31 of five linked to tycoon Samvel Karapetyan's new Strong Armenia party for alleged vote-buying damaged emerging rivals. Fragmented blocs like Armenia Alliance trail, hampered by pro-Russian ties against Pashinyan's EU pivot, though undecided shifts or opposition consolidation could narrow the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCivil Contract 83%
Armenia Alliance 8%
Bright Armenia 4.7%
I Have Honor Alliance 1.7%
$90,309 Vol.
$90,309 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Civil Contract
83%
Armenia Alliance
8%
Bright Armenia
5%
I Have Honor Alliance
2%
Armenian National Congress
<1%
Prosperous Armenia
<1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
<1%
Heritage
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
<1%
Civil Contract 83%
Armenia Alliance 8%
Bright Armenia 4.7%
I Have Honor Alliance 1.7%
$90,309 Vol.
$90,309 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Civil Contract
$38,380 Vol.
83%
Armenia Alliance
$48,856 Vol.
8%
Bright Armenia
$1,911 Vol.
5%
I Have Honor Alliance
$0 Vol.
2%
Armenian National Congress
$1,162 Vol.
<1%
Prosperous Armenia
$0 Vol.
<1%
Hanrapetutyun Party
$0 Vol.
<1%
Heritage
$0 Vol.
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract commands 82.5% trader consensus as the likely winner of Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting its incumbency edge and poll leads of 24-50% in recent surveys like IRI and Breavis amid 30% undecided voters and splintered opposition. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's re-nomination as the party's prime ministerial candidate during its March 29 congress, atop the finalized electoral list, reinforced internal unity. Arrests on March 31 of five linked to tycoon Samvel Karapetyan's new Strong Armenia party for alleged vote-buying damaged emerging rivals. Fragmented blocs like Armenia Alliance trail, hampered by pro-Russian ties against Pashinyan's EU pivot, though undecided shifts or opposition consolidation could narrow the race.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$90,309End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract commands 82.5% trader consensus as the likely winner of Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting its incumbency edge and poll leads of 24-50% in recent surveys like IRI and Breavis amid 30% undecided voters and splintered opposition. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's re-nomination as the party's prime ministerial candidate during its March 29 congress, atop the finalized electoral list, reinforced internal unity. Arrests on March 31 of five linked to tycoon Samvel Karapetyan's new Strong Armenia party for alleged vote-buying damaged emerging rivals. Fragmented blocs like Armenia Alliance trail, hampered by pro-Russian ties against Pashinyan's EU pivot, though undecided shifts or opposition consolidation could narrow the race.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$90,309End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract commands 82.5% trader consensus as the likely winner of Armenia's June 7 parliamentary election under proportional representation, reflecting its incumbency edge and poll leads of 24-50% in recent surveys like IRI and Breavis amid 30% undecided voters and splintered opposition. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's re-nomination as the party's prime ministerial candidate during its March 29 congress, atop the finalized electoral list, reinforced internal unity. Arrests on March 31 of five linked to tycoon Samvel Karapetyan's new Strong Armenia party for alleged vote-buying damaged emerging rivals. Fragmented blocs like Armenia Alliance trail, hampered by pro-Russian ties against Pashinyan's EU pivot, though undecided shifts or opposition consolidation could narrow the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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