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Politics·Primaries

Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner

Andy Biggs 93%

David Schweikert 4.7%

Karrin Taylor Robson 1.4%

Polymarket

$59,353 Vol.

Andy Biggs 93%

David Schweikert 4.7%

Karrin Taylor Robson 1.4%

Polymarket

$59,353 Vol.

Andy Biggs

$5,815 Vol.

93%

David Schweikert

$5,701 Vol.

5%

Karrin Taylor Robson

$47,837 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Andy Biggs holds a commanding position in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary at 92.5% trader consensus, driven by recent polls showing him leading Rep. David Schweikert by 21 points (40%-19%) in a February Noble Predictive Insights survey among GOP voters, with his support surging after Karrin Taylor Robson's February withdrawal consolidated the field. Biggs benefits from President Trump's endorsement, Turning Point USA backing, superior fundraising ($1.9 million vs. Schweikert's $872,000), and appeal to Trump-aligned voters, seniors, and men as former Arizona Senate President. With 41% undecided in the latest poll and the July 21 primary approaching, a Schweikert policy-focused surge, damaging Biggs scandal, or endorsement shift could narrow the gap.

Rep. Andy Biggs holds a commanding position in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary at 92.5% trader consensus, driven by recent polls showing him leading Rep. David Schweikert by 21 points (40%-19%) in a February Noble Predictive Insights survey among GOP voters, with his support surging after Karrin Taylor Robson's February withdrawal consolidated the field. Biggs benefits from President Trump's endorsement, Turning Point USA backing, superior fundraising ($1.9 million vs. Schweikert's $872,000), and appeal to Trump-aligned voters, seniors, and men as former Arizona Senate President. With 41% undecided in the latest poll and the July 21 primary approaching, a Schweikert policy-focused surge, damaging Biggs scandal, or endorsement shift could narrow the gap.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Andy Biggs holds a commanding position in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary at 92.5% trader consensus, driven by recent polls showing him leading Rep. David Schweikert by 21 points (40%-19%) in a February Noble Predictive Insights survey among GOP voters, with his support surging after Karrin Taylor Robson's February withdrawal consolidated the field. Biggs benefits from President Trump's endorsement, Turning Point USA backing, superior fundraising ($1.9 million vs. Schweikert's $872,000), and appeal to Trump-aligned voters, seniors, and men as former Arizona Senate President. With 41% undecided in the latest poll and the July 21 primary approaching, a Schweikert policy-focused surge, damaging Biggs scandal, or endorsement shift could narrow the gap.

Rep. Andy Biggs holds a commanding position in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary at 92.5% trader consensus, driven by recent polls showing him leading Rep. David Schweikert by 21 points (40%-19%) in a February Noble Predictive Insights survey among GOP voters, with his support surging after Karrin Taylor Robson's February withdrawal consolidated the field. Biggs benefits from President Trump's endorsement, Turning Point USA backing, superior fundraising ($1.9 million vs. Schweikert's $872,000), and appeal to Trump-aligned voters, seniors, and men as former Arizona Senate President. With 41% undecided in the latest poll and the July 21 primary approaching, a Schweikert policy-focused surge, damaging Biggs scandal, or endorsement shift could narrow the gap.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Biggs" at 93%, followed by "David Schweikert" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $59.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Andy Biggs" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Schweikert" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.