Skip to main content
Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

Barry Moore 90%

Jared Hudson 7.6%

Steve Marshall 2.7%

Morgan Murphy <1%

Polymarket

$58,282 Vol.

Barry Moore 90%

Jared Hudson 7.6%

Steve Marshall 2.7%

Morgan Murphy <1%

Polymarket

$58,282 Vol.

Barry Moore

$16,070 Vol.

90%

Jared Hudson

$3,502 Vol.

8%

Steve Marshall

$11,972 Vol.

3%

Morgan Murphy

$23,838 Vol.

1%

Rodney Walker

$2,899 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Barry Moore at 89.5% to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, propelled by a new Peak Insights poll from April 11-13 showing him at 34% among likely voters—doubling his lead over Attorney General Steve Marshall (16%) and former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson (12%), with 32% undecided. Moore's early Trump endorsement, Club for Growth backing, $5 million from crypto PAC Fairshake, and Q1 fundraising dominance over Marshall have fueled his surge since late March polls showed a tighter three-way race. A potential June runoff looms if no candidate hits 50%, but traders anticipate Moore consolidating support in this open-seat contest replacing retiring Sen. Tommy Tuberville. Hudson's recent $1.5 million haul and super PAC ads provide a distant challenge at 7.3%.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$58,282
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Barry Moore at 89.5% to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, propelled by a new Peak Insights poll from April 11-13 showing him at 34% among likely voters—doubling his lead over Attorney General Steve Marshall (16%) and former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson (12%), with 32% undecided. Moore's early Trump endorsement, Club for Growth backing, $5 million from crypto PAC Fairshake, and Q1 fundraising dominance over Marshall have fueled his surge since late March polls showed a tighter three-way race. A potential June runoff looms if no candidate hits 50%, but traders anticipate Moore consolidating support in this open-seat contest replacing retiring Sen. Tommy Tuberville. Hudson's recent $1.5 million haul and super PAC ads provide a distant challenge at 7.3%.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$58,282
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related

Market icon

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

25%
Market icon

Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

30%
Market icon

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

53%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Barry Moore" at 90%, followed by "Jared Hudson" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $58.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Barry Moore" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jared Hudson" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.