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Fed Rates
Fed decision in January?
$53m Vol.
$4m today
$4m Liq.
1,369
Ends in about 1 month
86%
No change
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$80m Vol.
$2m today
$2m Liq.
245
Ends in about 1 year
64%
Kevin Hassett
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
$11m Vol.
$908k today
$242k Liq.
88
Ends in 8 days
97%
No announcement by December 31
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$1m Vol.
$746k Liq.
18
23%
3 (75 bps)
Fed decision in March?
$616k Vol.
$285k Liq.
418
Ends in 3 months
54%
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
$28.0k Liq.
5
<1%
Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?
$624k Vol.
$42.6k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days
100%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?
$5m Vol.
$64.0k Liq.
167
1%
4.8%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
$12m Vol.
$121k Liq.
420
Fed rate cut by...?
$7.6k Vol.
$85.8k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
85%
June Meeting
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$250k Vol.
$77.1k Liq.
43%
Cut–Pause–Pause
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$518k Vol.
$46.8k Liq.
15
Cut–Cut–Pause
ECB rate cut in 2025?
$311k Vol.
$8.1k Liq.
3
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?
$973k Vol.
$48.5k Liq.
17
2%
3.6%
Fed decision in April?
$461k Vol.
$286k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
63%
Fed abolished in 2025?
$409k Vol.
$8.6k Liq.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$6.3k Vol.
$6.5k Liq.
4.3%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$10.6k Vol.
$11.6k Liq.
21%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$4.9k Vol.
$25.4k Liq.
Ends in 12 months
11%
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?
$10.2k Vol.
98%
March 31, 2026
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