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Fed Rates
Fed decision in January?
$49m Vol.
$3m today
$5m Liq.
1,369
Ends in about 1 month
81%
No change
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$78m Vol.
$2m today
$2m Liq.
243
Ends in about 1 year
59%
Kevin Hassett
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
$10m Vol.
$107k today
$300k Liq.
87
Ends in 9 days
97%
No announcement by December 31
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?
$5m Vol.
$55.2k today
$46.1k Liq.
167
1%
4.6%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$1m Vol.
$745k Liq.
14
22%
2 (50 bps)
Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?
$616k Vol.
$38.5k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
100%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
$12m Vol.
$116k Liq.
420
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
$33.0k Liq.
5
<1%
Fed decision in March?
$602k Vol.
$295k Liq.
418
Ends in 3 months
52%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?
$970k Vol.
$29.7k Liq.
17
3.9%
Fed decision in April?
$459k Vol.
$289k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
63%
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$516k Vol.
$47.8k Liq.
15
80%
Cut–Cut–Pause
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?
$9.9k Vol.
$10.8k Liq.
98%
March 31, 2026
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$243k Vol.
$65.7k Liq.
40%
Cut–Pause–Pause
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?
$15.2k Liq.
1,094
19%
February 28, 2026
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$4.7k Vol.
$20.1k Liq.
Ends in 12 months
11%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
$1.7k Vol.
$12.9k Liq.
4.3%
Fed rate cut by...?
$4.0k Vol.
$89.0k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
83%
April Meeting
Fed abolished in 2025?
$408k Vol.
$8.7k Liq.
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$10.3k Vol.
$11.0k Liq.
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