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Fed Rates
Fed decision in January?
$40m Vol.
$4m today
$4m Liq.
1,369
Ends in about 1 month
74%
No change
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$72m Vol.
$1m today
$2m Liq.
235
Ends in about 1 year
56%
Kevin Hassett
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
$9m Vol.
$98.6k today
$287k Liq.
93
Ends in 12 days
93%
No announcement by December 31
Fed decision in March?
$539k Vol.
418
Ends in 3 months
49%
25 bps decrease
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$1m Vol.
$721k Liq.
17
20%
2 (50 bps)
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
$53.1k Liq.
5
<1%
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?
$82.9k Vol.
$26.1k Liq.
3
Ends in 11 days
100%
ECB rate cut in 2025?
$305k Vol.
$17.4k Liq.
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
$12m Vol.
$136k Liq.
420
1%
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$240k Vol.
$66.3k Liq.
1
44%
Cut–Pause–Pause
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$508k Vol.
$45.2k Liq.
15
Cut–Cut–Pause
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?
$5m Vol.
$108k Liq.
167
4.6%
Fed decision in April?
$447k Vol.
$293k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
66%
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?
$6.6k Vol.
$17.9k Liq.
98%
June 30, 2026
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?
$10m Vol.
1,094
February 28, 2026
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$5.4k Vol.
$21.7k Liq.
63%
4.3%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$10.2k Vol.
$9.9k Liq.
23%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?
$965k Vol.
$51.2k Liq.
3.9%
Fed rate cut by...?
$725 Vol.
$85.1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
80%
April Meeting
Fed abolished in 2025?
$408k Vol.
$9.1k Liq.
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