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Terrorism predictions & odds

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Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

6%

$96.2K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

May 31

$145K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

10

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

What price will Ethena hit in May?

What price will Ethena hit in May?

19%

↓ 0.08

$2.3K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$645K Vol.

$36.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

92%

↑ $3.00

$195K Vol.

$125K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

33

Will Little Joe escape again?

Will Little Joe escape again?

4%

$798 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

36%

8

$1M Vol.

$67.0K today

$121K Liq.

34

Ends in 8 months

India strike on Pakistan by...?

India strike on Pakistan by...?

26%

December 31, 2026

$946K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

66

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$237K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

15

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

85%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$278 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

46%

$130 Vol.

$138 Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

47%

↓ 38

$67.9K Vol.

$41.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

10%

$7.4K Vol.

$28.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

64%

$568K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Maduro Prison Time?

Maduro Prison Time?

35%

60+

$527K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

22

Ends in over 1 year

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

83%

50

$18.3K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

35%

King

$10.8K Vol.

$405 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Terrorism.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Terrorism that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? ”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 83% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Terrorism predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.