Despite the European Union's designation of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organisation on January 29, 2026, the UK government has not proscribed it, with the Home Office proscribed list unchanged since January 28. Initial announcements of new legislation to enable proscription of state actors like the IRGC stalled, prompting recent criticism from retired MI5, MI6, and GCHQ directors, opposition MPs including Priti Patel, and a Liberal Democrats bill on March 3. Trader consensus at 57.5% for "No" reflects Labour government's reluctance amid legal hurdles under the Terrorism Act 2000, competing foreign policy priorities, and no parliamentary progress with the June 30 deadline three months away.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
$80,495 Vol.
$80,495 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$80,495 Vol.
$80,495 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.Despite the European Union's designation of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organisation on January 29, 2026, the UK government has not proscribed it, with the Home Office proscribed list unchanged since January 28. Initial announcements of new legislation to enable proscription of state actors like the IRGC stalled, prompting recent criticism from retired MI5, MI6, and GCHQ directors, opposition MPs including Priti Patel, and a Liberal Democrats bill on March 3. Trader consensus at 57.5% for "No" reflects Labour government's reluctance amid legal hurdles under the Terrorism Act 2000, competing foreign policy priorities, and no parliamentary progress with the June 30 deadline three months away.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$80,495End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.Despite the European Union's designation of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organisation on January 29, 2026, the UK government has not proscribed it, with the Home Office proscribed list unchanged since January 28. Initial announcements of new legislation to enable proscription of state actors like the IRGC stalled, prompting recent criticism from retired MI5, MI6, and GCHQ directors, opposition MPs including Priti Patel, and a Liberal Democrats bill on March 3. Trader consensus at 57.5% for "No" reflects Labour government's reluctance amid legal hurdles under the Terrorism Act 2000, competing foreign policy priorities, and no parliamentary progress with the June 30 deadline three months away.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
Volume
$80,495End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite the European Union's designation of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organisation on January 29, 2026, the UK government has not proscribed it, with the Home Office proscribed list unchanged since January 28. Initial announcements of new legislation to enable proscription of state actors like the IRGC stalled, prompting recent criticism from retired MI5, MI6, and GCHQ directors, opposition MPs including Priti Patel, and a Liberal Democrats bill on March 3. Trader consensus at 57.5% for "No" reflects Labour government's reluctance amid legal hurdles under the Terrorism Act 2000, competing foreign policy priorities, and no parliamentary progress with the June 30 deadline three months away.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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