Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

53%

Democrats Sweep

$5M Vol.

$113K today

$579K Liq.

145

Ends in 7 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

68%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$338K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

45%

2

$24.1K Vol.

$55.5K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

2%

$28M Vol.

$900K today

$793K Liq.

3

Ends in 18 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

8%

$29M Vol.

$283K today

$760K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

35%

December 31

$8M Vol.

$116K today

$433K Liq.

1,016

Ends in 9 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

20%

$14M Vol.

$74.2K today

$342K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

6%

$941K Vol.

$374K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

28%

June 30, 2026

$599K Vol.

$46.1K Liq.

43

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

8%

$8M Vol.

$148K Liq.

705

Ends in 9 months

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

93%

$522K Vol.

$91.8K Liq.

56

Ends in 3 months

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

2%

$2M Vol.

$59.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

10%

$1M Vol.

$74.6K Liq.

33

Ends in 9 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

56%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$56.5K Liq.

51

Ends in 3 months

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

21%

December 31, 2026

$109K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

31

Ends in 9 months

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

28%

$141K Vol.

$41.7K Liq.

7

Ends in 9 months

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

94%

December 31

$173K Vol.

$41.6K Liq.

16

Ends in 3 months

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

9%

June 30, 2026

$421K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

89%

June 30

$150K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

11

Ends in 9 months

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?

36%

$39 Vol.

$71 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Power.

Polymarket currently hosts 160 active markets for Power that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $102.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran leadership change by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Power predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.