Macro Geopolitics predictions & odds

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Macro Geopolitics

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

13%

$13m Vol.

$320k today

$758k Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 2 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Macro Geopolitics

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

40%

$2m Vol.

$118k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Macro Geopolitics

World Affairs

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

8%

$6m Vol.

$267k Liq.

705

Ends in 11 months

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Macro Geopolitics

Politics

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

20%

$134k Vol.

$18.4k Liq.

13

Ends in 11 months