Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

32%

$1M Vol.

$146K Liq.

67

Ends in about 1 month

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

9%

$7M Vol.

$171K Liq.

705

Ends in 9 months

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

24%

$191K Vol.

$38.0K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

32%

$434K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

35%

40-59

$904 Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

44%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

107

Ends in 3 months

Zelenskyy # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?

76%

60-79

$20.7K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

32%

60-79

$9.6K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

57%

$44.1K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 4 days

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

24%

April 30

$136K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

27%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$349K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

58

Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Marco Cecchinato

Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Marco Cecchinato

69%

Sebastian Ofner

$2.1K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

32%

7

$644K Vol.

$83.8K Liq.

34

Ends in 9 months

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

19%

December 31, 2026

$213K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

13

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

2%

March 31

$62.4K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 23?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 23?

3%

$12.9K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

23%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

59

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

43%

>$600M

$14M Vol.

$462K Liq.

253

Ends in 3 months

Marco Rubio visits China by...?

Marco Rubio visits China by...?

82%

December 31

$47.6K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?

72%

April 30

$600K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

307

Ends in 4 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Macro Geopolitics.

Polymarket currently hosts 128 active markets for Macro Geopolitics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $29.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 43% chance to >$600M. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Macro Geopolitics predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.