Macro Geopolitics predictions & odds

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Macro Geopolitics

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

11%

$9m Vol.

$240k today

$1m Liq.

20,361

Ends in 3 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Macro Geopolitics

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

64%

$1m Vol.

$125k today

$182k Liq.

8

Ends in 12 months

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Macro Geopolitics

World Affairs

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7%

$5m Vol.

$300k Liq.

705

Ends in 12 months

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Macro Geopolitics

Politics

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

19%

$118k Vol.

$46.8k Liq.

12

Ends in 12 months