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Regional Spillover predictions & odds

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Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

100%

Iraq

$4M Vol.

$1M today

$5M Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

7%

April 30

$1M Vol.

$77.2K today

$73.2K Liq.

210

Ends in 14 days

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

6%

April 30

$850K Vol.

$70.3K today

$129K Liq.

87

Ends in 14 days

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

7%

UAE

$3M Vol.

$53.3K today

$261K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

15%

May 31

$1M Vol.

$62.7K Liq.

73

Ends in 14 days

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

28%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$64.5K Liq.

163

Ends in 2 months

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

23%

$353K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

42

Ends in 2 months

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

56%

2

$102K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

42%

$79.0K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

1%

$43.0K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

3%

$13.7K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?

6%

April 30

$59.5K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

6

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

12%

April 30

$51.0K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

94%

June 30

$154K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

11

Ends in 9 months

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

11%

$13.9K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 15 active markets for Regional Spillover that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran military action against ___ by April 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $12.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran military action against ___ by April 30?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran military action against ___ by April 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Israel. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Regional Spillover predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.