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icon for Alguma partida de Teerão (IKA) até...?
Política·Espaço Aéreo

Alguma partida de Teerão (IKA) até...?

icon for Alguma partida de Teerão (IKA) até...?
Política·Espaço Aéreo

Alguma partida de Teerão (IKA) até...?

$390,513 Vol.

9 jun 2026
Polymarket

$390,513 Vol.

Polymarket

8 de junho

$322,706 Vol.

Sim

9 de junho

$13,657 Vol.

Sim

10 de junho

$4,069 Vol.

Sim

11 de junho

$4,625 Vol.

Sim

12 de junho

$26,967 Vol.

Sim

15 de junho

$8,185 Vol.

Sim

30 de junho

$10,304 Vol.

Sim

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any flight departs from Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA) between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At least one departure must have occurred. An announcement that IKA has reopened alone will not qualify. Only the time of takeoff will be considered for this market. Gate departure will not count. The primary resolution source will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OIIE); however, information from IKA and Iranian government, including the Civil Aviation Authority of Iran, will be used.Recent geopolitical tensions involving Iran, Israel, and the United States have repeatedly disrupted operations at Tehran’s Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), including a roughly two-month suspension of commercial flights earlier in 2026 that ended with a gradual resumption of limited international and regional service on April 25. Trader positioning on near-term departure dates reflects ongoing monitoring of airspace restrictions, airline scheduling decisions by carriers such as Iran Air and Mahan Air, and any signals of renewed escalation or de-escalation in the region. Current live flight data shows scheduled departures and arrivals continuing into June, supporting elevated implied probabilities for activity by mid-month and through June 30. Key variables that could shift outcomes include diplomatic engagements between the United States and Iranian officials, developments affecting the Strait of Hormuz, or new military or security measures that prompt further suspensions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any flight departs from Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA) between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At least one departure must have occurred. An announcement that IKA has reopened alone will not qualify. Only the time of takeoff will be considered for this market. Gate departure will not count.

The primary resolution source will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OIIE); however, information from IKA and Iranian government, including the Civil Aviation Authority of Iran, will be used.
Volume
$390,513
Data de Término
1 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 7, 2026, 10:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any flight departs from Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA) between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At least one departure must have occurred. An announcement that IKA has reopened alone will not qualify. Only the time of takeoff will be considered for this market. Gate departure will not count. The primary resolution source will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OIIE); however, information from IKA and Iranian government, including the Civil Aviation Authority of Iran, will be used.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any flight departs from Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA) between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At least one departure must have occurred. An announcement that IKA has reopened alone will not qualify. Only the time of takeoff will be considered for this market. Gate departure will not count. The primary resolution source will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OIIE); however, information from IKA and Iranian government, including the Civil Aviation Authority of Iran, will be used.Recent geopolitical tensions involving Iran, Israel, and the United States have repeatedly disrupted operations at Tehran’s Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), including a roughly two-month suspension of commercial flights earlier in 2026 that ended with a gradual resumption of limited international and regional service on April 25. Trader positioning on near-term departure dates reflects ongoing monitoring of airspace restrictions, airline scheduling decisions by carriers such as Iran Air and Mahan Air, and any signals of renewed escalation or de-escalation in the region. Current live flight data shows scheduled departures and arrivals continuing into June, supporting elevated implied probabilities for activity by mid-month and through June 30. Key variables that could shift outcomes include diplomatic engagements between the United States and Iranian officials, developments affecting the Strait of Hormuz, or new military or security measures that prompt further suspensions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any flight departs from Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA) between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At least one departure must have occurred. An announcement that IKA has reopened alone will not qualify. Only the time of takeoff will be considered for this market. Gate departure will not count.

The primary resolution source will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OIIE); however, information from IKA and Iranian government, including the Civil Aviation Authority of Iran, will be used.
Volume
$390,513
Data de Término
1 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 7, 2026, 10:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any flight departs from Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA) between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At least one departure must have occurred. An announcement that IKA has reopened alone will not qualify. Only the time of takeoff will be considered for this market. Gate departure will not count. The primary resolution source will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OIIE); however, information from IKA and Iranian government, including the Civil Aviation Authority of Iran, will be used.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Alguma partida de Teerão (IKA) até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "8 de junho" at 100%, followed by "9 de junho" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alguma partida de Teerão (IKA) até...?" has generated $390.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alguma partida de Teerão (IKA) até...?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alguma partida de Teerão (IKA) até...?" is "8 de junho" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9 de junho" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alguma partida de Teerão (IKA) até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.