Trader consensus prices "No" at 76.5% for a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30, reflecting the collapse of indirect negotiations in late February 2026 after US and Israeli airstrikes targeted Iranian nuclear sites and killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, igniting the ongoing war. Recent developments, including Iran's March rejection of a US 15-point proposal demanding zero uranium enrichment and dismantlement of facilities, alongside Tehran's insistence on reparations and attack cessation, have deepened mistrust. President Trump's April 1 address emphasized military success in degrading Iran's nuclear and missile capabilities without requiring a deal, signaling diplomacy sidelined by de-escalation via force amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and new mediators like Pakistan and Oman. With three months remaining, no breakthroughs suggest low prospects for a publicly announced mutual agreement on Iran's nuclear program.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAcordo nuclear EUA-Irã até 30 de junho?
Acordo nuclear EUA-Irã até 30 de junho?
Sim
$965,623 Vol.
$965,623 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$965,623 Vol.
$965,623 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 76.5% for a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30, reflecting the collapse of indirect negotiations in late February 2026 after US and Israeli airstrikes targeted Iranian nuclear sites and killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, igniting the ongoing war. Recent developments, including Iran's March rejection of a US 15-point proposal demanding zero uranium enrichment and dismantlement of facilities, alongside Tehran's insistence on reparations and attack cessation, have deepened mistrust. President Trump's April 1 address emphasized military success in degrading Iran's nuclear and missile capabilities without requiring a deal, signaling diplomacy sidelined by de-escalation via force amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and new mediators like Pakistan and Oman. With three months remaining, no breakthroughs suggest low prospects for a publicly announced mutual agreement on Iran's nuclear program.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$965,623Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 76.5% for a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30, reflecting the collapse of indirect negotiations in late February 2026 after US and Israeli airstrikes targeted Iranian nuclear sites and killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, igniting the ongoing war. Recent developments, including Iran's March rejection of a US 15-point proposal demanding zero uranium enrichment and dismantlement of facilities, alongside Tehran's insistence on reparations and attack cessation, have deepened mistrust. President Trump's April 1 address emphasized military success in degrading Iran's nuclear and missile capabilities without requiring a deal, signaling diplomacy sidelined by de-escalation via force amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and new mediators like Pakistan and Oman. With three months remaining, no breakthroughs suggest low prospects for a publicly announced mutual agreement on Iran's nuclear program.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$965,623Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 76.5% for a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30, reflecting the collapse of indirect negotiations in late February 2026 after US and Israeli airstrikes targeted Iranian nuclear sites and killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, igniting the ongoing war. Recent developments, including Iran's March rejection of a US 15-point proposal demanding zero uranium enrichment and dismantlement of facilities, alongside Tehran's insistence on reparations and attack cessation, have deepened mistrust. President Trump's April 1 address emphasized military success in degrading Iran's nuclear and missile capabilities without requiring a deal, signaling diplomacy sidelined by de-escalation via force amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and new mediators like Pakistan and Oman. With three months remaining, no breakthroughs suggest low prospects for a publicly announced mutual agreement on Iran's nuclear program.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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