Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
KhameneiPolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

16%

$12m Vol.

$336k today

$374k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
KhameneiPolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

27%

$5m Vol.

$54.9k today

$143k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
KhameneiPolitics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

32%

$4m Vol.

$205k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?
KhameneiPolitics

Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?

<1%

$128k Vol.

$42.5k Liq.

2

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
KhameneiPolitics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

6%

$4m Vol.

$251k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
KhameneiPolitics

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

75%

February 28

$251k Vol.

$18.3k Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Khamenei public appearance by...?
KhameneiPolitics

Khamenei public appearance by...?

63%

February 28

$12.0k Vol.

$2.4k Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
KhameneiPolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

41%

$2m Vol.

$134k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?
KhameneiPolitics

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

27%

>20%

$161k Vol.

$16.4k Liq.

8

Ends in 15 days

U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?
KhameneiPolitics

U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?

50%

June 30

$149k Vol.

$14.0k Liq.

5

Ends in 5 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
KhameneiPolitics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

18%

$1m Vol.

$82.7k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Iran Strike on Israel by...?
KhameneiPolitics

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

12%

February 28

$1m Vol.

$18.6k Liq.

27

Ends in 15 days

Iran strike on Qatar by...?
KhameneiPolitics

Iran strike on Qatar by...?

6%

February 28

$290k Vol.

$4.5k Liq.

7

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
KhameneiPolitics

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

43%

$114k Vol.

$7.4k Liq.

9

Ends in 5 months

Iran strike on US military by February 28?
KhameneiPolitics

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

11%

$122k Vol.

$10.5k Liq.

Ends in 15 days

 Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?
KhameneiPolitics

Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?

2%

$8.8k Vol.

$2.3k Liq.

Ends in 15 days

US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
KhameneiPolitics

US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?

20%

$28.4k Vol.

$4.8k Liq.

1

Ends in 15 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Khamenei.

Polymarket currently hosts 17 active markets for Khamenei that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $31.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Iran Strike on Israel by...?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Khamenei predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.