Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

34%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$54.6K today

$329K Liq.

892

Ends in 9 months

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

24%

Leadership Change

$30.9K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

What will Trump say this week? (April 5)

28%

Delcy / Rodriguez

$31.2K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will Trump say in April?

What will Trump say in April?

84%

Maduro

$45.9K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

15

Ends in 27 days

Who will Trump name in April?

Who will Trump name in April?

93%

Kamala

$4.1K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 27 days

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

9%

June 30

$771K Vol.

$82.0K Liq.

62

Ends in 27 days

Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

41%

<5

$2.1K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

41%

15-19

$15.5K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

30%

May 31

$838K Vol.

$41.8K Liq.

123

Ends in 27 days

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

37%

December 31

$511K Vol.

$58.8K Liq.

29

Ends in 9 months

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

45%

June 30, 2026

$410K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

20

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

7%

April 30

$21.9K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

7%

$72.9K Vol.

$51.3K today

$320K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

14%

$25M Vol.

$351K today

$2M Liq.

16

Ends in 3 months

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

17%

April 30

$51.4K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

17

Ends in 27 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

3%

$19M Vol.

$568K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in 27 days

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

63%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$370K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

40%

December 31

$113M Vol.

$623K today

$20M Liq.

36

Ends in 9 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

25%

$13M Vol.

$61.3K today

$465K Liq.

24

Ends in 9 months

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

75%

June 30

$11M Vol.

$501K today

$514K Liq.

220

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Khamenei Out.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Khamenei Out that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran leadership change by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $193.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 40% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Khamenei Out predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.