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FSU predictions & odds

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Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$74.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Valantis FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Valantis FDV above ___ one day after launch?

50%

$80M

$621 Vol.

$367 Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

77%

$200M

$394K Vol.

$77.1K Liq.

17

Ends in over 1 year

FL-03 House Election Winner

FL-03 House Election Winner

88%

Republican Party

$11.4K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

75%

↓ $4,500

$487K Vol.

$182K Liq.

3

Ends in 15 days

ITF Hurghada: Michael Bassem Sobhy vs Aaron Funk

ITF Hurghada: Michael Bassem Sobhy vs Aaron Funk

61%

Aaron Funk

$0 Vol.

$368 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?

62%

$200M

$164K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

9

Ends in over 1 year

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

8%

↓ 2 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?

57%

↑ $435

$51.3K Vol.

$37.9K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in May 2026?

82%

↓ $74

$389K Vol.

$170K Liq.

1

Ends in 15 days

ITF Louny: Filip Cristian Jianu vs Lilian Marmousez

ITF Louny: Filip Cristian Jianu vs Lilian Marmousez

54%

Filip Cristian Jianu

$0 Vol.

$982 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

14%

$8.7K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?

11%

$800M

$101K Vol.

$39.0K Liq.

8

Ends in over 1 year

ITF Pensacola: Ryan Colby vs Nick Hardt

ITF Pensacola: Ryan Colby vs Nick Hardt

58%

Ryan Colby

$0 Vol.

$308 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

FL-22 House Election Winner

FL-22 House Election Winner

51%

Democratic Party

$14.2K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

FL-02 House Election Winner

FL-02 House Election Winner

84%

Republican Party

$6.9K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

58%

3.75%

$7M Vol.

$152K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

80%

No change

$15.3K Vol.

$258K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like FSU.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for FSU that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 58% chance to 3.75%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on FSU predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.