Trader consensus on GPT-5.6 release timing reflects OpenAI’s pattern of frequent frontier model iterations, with GPT-5.5 launching in late April 2026 and an Instant variant updating in late May. Recent developer reports of GPT-5.6 references in internal Codex logs and backend routing have fueled expectations for a mid-June rollout, aligning with the 55% market-implied probability for June 15–21. Earlier June windows carry lower odds amid no official announcements or confirmed capability benchmarks, while the 12% chance of delay past June 28 accounts for typical testing and safety review cycles. Upcoming earnings or developer events could shift sentiment if new details emerge on the large language model’s context window or reasoning improvements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhen will GPT-5.6 be released?
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
June 15–June 21 64%
Not released by June 28 17%
June 8–June 14 16%
June 22–June 28 8.6%
$60,555 Обс.
$60,555 Обс.
Jun 28, 2026
June 1–June 7
2%
June 8–June 14
16%
June 15–June 21
55%
June 22–June 28
9%
Not released by June 28
15%
June 15–June 21 64%
Not released by June 28 17%
June 8–June 14 16%
June 22–June 28 8.6%
$60,555 Обс.
$60,555 Обс.
Jun 28, 2026
June 1–June 7
$11,735 Обс.
2%
June 8–June 14
$10,578 Обс.
16%
June 15–June 21
$2,611 Обс.
55%
June 22–June 28
$2,001 Обс.
9%
Not released by June 28
$6,498 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on GPT-5.6 release timing reflects OpenAI’s pattern of frequent frontier model iterations, with GPT-5.5 launching in late April 2026 and an Instant variant updating in late May. Recent developer reports of GPT-5.6 references in internal Codex logs and backend routing have fueled expectations for a mid-June rollout, aligning with the 55% market-implied probability for June 15–21. Earlier June windows carry lower odds amid no official announcements or confirmed capability benchmarks, while the 12% chance of delay past June 28 accounts for typical testing and safety review cycles. Upcoming earnings or developer events could shift sentiment if new details emerge on the large language model’s context window or reasoning improvements.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$60,555Дата завершення
Jun 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on GPT-5.6 release timing reflects OpenAI’s pattern of frequent frontier model iterations, with GPT-5.5 launching in late April 2026 and an Instant variant updating in late May. Recent developer reports of GPT-5.6 references in internal Codex logs and backend routing have fueled expectations for a mid-June rollout, aligning with the 55% market-implied probability for June 15–21. Earlier June windows carry lower odds amid no official announcements or confirmed capability benchmarks, while the 12% chance of delay past June 28 accounts for typical testing and safety review cycles. Upcoming earnings or developer events could shift sentiment if new details emerge on the large language model’s context window or reasoning improvements.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$60,555Дата завершення
Jun 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on GPT-5.6 release timing reflects OpenAI’s pattern of frequent frontier model iterations, with GPT-5.5 launching in late April 2026 and an Instant variant updating in late May. Recent developer reports of GPT-5.6 references in internal Codex logs and backend routing have fueled expectations for a mid-June rollout, aligning with the 55% market-implied probability for June 15–21. Earlier June windows carry lower odds amid no official announcements or confirmed capability benchmarks, while the 12% chance of delay past June 28 accounts for typical testing and safety review cycles. Upcoming earnings or developer events could shift sentiment if new details emerge on the large language model’s context window or reasoning improvements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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