OpenAI’s rapid release cadence following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, combined with a May canary leak of “gpt-5.6” routing in Codex backend logs, has driven trader consensus toward a mid-June public rollout. Market-implied odds place the highest probability (53.5%) on June 15–21, reflecting expectations that internal testing will advance quickly to general availability in ChatGPT and the API. The 24.5% chance assigned to June 8–14 captures the possibility of an even faster iteration, while the 16.5% on “not released by June 28” accounts for typical pre-release safety reviews and the absence of any official announcement or system card as of early June. Traders weigh these signals against OpenAI’s history of staged rollouts and the lack of confirmed benchmarks or leadership statements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於June 15–June 21 55%
June 8–June 14 24%
Not released by June 28 17%
June 22–June 28 8.3%
$61,802 交易量
$61,802 交易量
2026-06-28
June 1–June 7
2%
June 8–June 14
24%
June 15–June 21
55%
June 22–June 28
8%
Not released by June 28
17%
June 15–June 21 55%
June 8–June 14 24%
Not released by June 28 17%
June 22–June 28 8.3%
$61,802 交易量
$61,802 交易量
2026-06-28
June 1–June 7
$12,166 交易量
2%
June 8–June 14
$11,127 交易量
24%
June 15–June 21
$2,646 交易量
55%
June 22–June 28
$2,010 交易量
8%
Not released by June 28
$6,713 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid release cadence following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, combined with a May canary leak of “gpt-5.6” routing in Codex backend logs, has driven trader consensus toward a mid-June public rollout. Market-implied odds place the highest probability (53.5%) on June 15–21, reflecting expectations that internal testing will advance quickly to general availability in ChatGPT and the API. The 24.5% chance assigned to June 8–14 captures the possibility of an even faster iteration, while the 16.5% on “not released by June 28” accounts for typical pre-release safety reviews and the absence of any official announcement or system card as of early June. Traders weigh these signals against OpenAI’s history of staged rollouts and the lack of confirmed benchmarks or leadership statements.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
交易量
$61,802結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid release cadence following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, combined with a May canary leak of “gpt-5.6” routing in Codex backend logs, has driven trader consensus toward a mid-June public rollout. Market-implied odds place the highest probability (53.5%) on June 15–21, reflecting expectations that internal testing will advance quickly to general availability in ChatGPT and the API. The 24.5% chance assigned to June 8–14 captures the possibility of an even faster iteration, while the 16.5% on “not released by June 28” accounts for typical pre-release safety reviews and the absence of any official announcement or system card as of early June. Traders weigh these signals against OpenAI’s history of staged rollouts and the lack of confirmed benchmarks or leadership statements.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$61,802結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s rapid release cadence following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, combined with a May canary leak of “gpt-5.6” routing in Codex backend logs, has driven trader consensus toward a mid-June public rollout. Market-implied odds place the highest probability (53.5%) on June 15–21, reflecting expectations that internal testing will advance quickly to general availability in ChatGPT and the API. The 24.5% chance assigned to June 8–14 captures the possibility of an even faster iteration, while the 16.5% on “not released by June 28” accounts for typical pre-release safety reviews and the absence of any official announcement or system card as of early June. Traders weigh these signals against OpenAI’s history of staged rollouts and the lack of confirmed benchmarks or leadership statements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions