Florida's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Neal Dunn, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the open race as Safe or Solid Republican. Austin Rogers secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election with local Panhandle roots, prior service as general counsel to Sen. Rick Scott, and a record aligned with America First priorities. Democratic nominee Amanda Green advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusual turnout patterns could still influence final results before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-02 House Election Winner
FL-02 House Election Winner
$16,194 Vol.
$16,194 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Austin Rogers (R)
92%
Amanda Green (D)
9%
$16,194 Vol.
$16,194 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Austin Rogers (R)
$10,094 Vol.
92%
Amanda Green (D)
$6,100 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Neal Dunn, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the open race as Safe or Solid Republican. Austin Rogers secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election with local Panhandle roots, prior service as general counsel to Sen. Rick Scott, and a record aligned with America First priorities. Democratic nominee Amanda Green advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusual turnout patterns could still influence final results before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,194End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Neal Dunn, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the open race as Safe or Solid Republican. Austin Rogers secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election with local Panhandle roots, prior service as general counsel to Sen. Rick Scott, and a record aligned with America First priorities. Democratic nominee Amanda Green advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusual turnout patterns could still influence final results before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,194End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Neal Dunn, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the open race as Safe or Solid Republican. Austin Rogers secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election with local Panhandle roots, prior service as general counsel to Sen. Rick Scott, and a record aligned with America First priorities. Democratic nominee Amanda Green advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusual turnout patterns could still influence final results before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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