The race for Florida’s 13th Congressional District has tightened in recent weeks, with nonpartisan forecasters shifting ratings from Likely Republican to Lean Republican after Democratic-aligned polls showed Leela Gray leading or tied with incumbent Anna Paulina Luna. Gray’s strong third-quarter fundraising, outside spending support, and endorsements from veterans’ groups and the Alliance for Retired Americans have boosted her profile ahead of the November 3 election. Luna retains advantages from the district’s Republican lean, her prior victories by roughly nine points, and late Republican-aligned advertising. Prediction market pricing reflects these fundamentals alongside the narrow polling margins and high uncertainty typical of a competitive midterm contest.