Florida's 13th Congressional District, a battleground encompassing St. Petersburg and surrounding Pinellas County areas, sees trader consensus favoring Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna at 48% over Democrat challenger Eric Davis at 45.5%, aligning with recent polls showing Luna ahead by 2-3 points within the margin of error. No pivotal developments in the past week, such as debates or scandals, have widened the gap; Luna leverages incumbency advantages and fundraising edges, while Davis courts independents and moderates amid national House generic ballot trends leaning Democratic. Early voting, now underway through November 3, will test turnout among seniors and coastal voters, with any surge in Republican enthusiasm or Democratic mobilization poised to tip this closely contested race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedFL-13 House Election Winner
FL-13 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
43%
Republican Party
53%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 Vol.
43%
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 13th Congressional District, a battleground encompassing St. Petersburg and surrounding Pinellas County areas, sees trader consensus favoring Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna at 48% over Democrat challenger Eric Davis at 45.5%, aligning with recent polls showing Luna ahead by 2-3 points within the margin of error. No pivotal developments in the past week, such as debates or scandals, have widened the gap; Luna leverages incumbency advantages and fundraising edges, while Davis courts independents and moderates amid national House generic ballot trends leaning Democratic. Early voting, now underway through November 3, will test turnout among seniors and coastal voters, with any surge in Republican enthusiasm or Democratic mobilization poised to tip this closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 13th Congressional District, a battleground encompassing St. Petersburg and surrounding Pinellas County areas, sees trader consensus favoring Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna at 48% over Democrat challenger Eric Davis at 45.5%, aligning with recent polls showing Luna ahead by 2-3 points within the margin of error. No pivotal developments in the past week, such as debates or scandals, have widened the gap; Luna leverages incumbency advantages and fundraising edges, while Davis courts independents and moderates amid national House generic ballot trends leaning Democratic. Early voting, now underway through November 3, will test turnout among seniors and coastal voters, with any surge in Republican enthusiasm or Democratic mobilization poised to tip this closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 13th Congressional District, a battleground encompassing St. Petersburg and surrounding Pinellas County areas, sees trader consensus favoring Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna at 48% over Democrat challenger Eric Davis at 45.5%, aligning with recent polls showing Luna ahead by 2-3 points within the margin of error. No pivotal developments in the past week, such as debates or scandals, have widened the gap; Luna leverages incumbency advantages and fundraising edges, while Davis courts independents and moderates amid national House generic ballot trends leaning Democratic. Early voting, now underway through November 3, will test turnout among seniors and coastal voters, with any surge in Republican enthusiasm or Democratic mobilization poised to tip this closely contested race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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