Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th congressional district for the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean from recent cycles and her established fundraising and organizational advantages. Leela Gray, the Democratic nominee and retired Army brigadier general who won her August primary, has emphasized cost-of-living issues, insurance reform, and attacks on Luna’s record, including donor-related allegations that prompted a cease-and-desist response from Luna’s campaign. A late-August internal Democratic poll showed Gray narrowly ahead, yet the district’s underlying partisan composition and Luna’s incumbency have sustained trader consensus favoring the Republican. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot but has not shifted the race dynamics substantially.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,180 Vol.
$10,180 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Anna Paulina Luna (R)
74%
Leela Gray (D)
27%
$10,180 Vol.
$10,180 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Anna Paulina Luna (R)
$4,141 Vol.
74%
Leela Gray (D)
$6,039 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th congressional district for the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean from recent cycles and her established fundraising and organizational advantages. Leela Gray, the Democratic nominee and retired Army brigadier general who won her August primary, has emphasized cost-of-living issues, insurance reform, and attacks on Luna’s record, including donor-related allegations that prompted a cease-and-desist response from Luna’s campaign. A late-August internal Democratic poll showed Gray narrowly ahead, yet the district’s underlying partisan composition and Luna’s incumbency have sustained trader consensus favoring the Republican. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot but has not shifted the race dynamics substantially.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$10,180End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th congressional district for the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean from recent cycles and her established fundraising and organizational advantages. Leela Gray, the Democratic nominee and retired Army brigadier general who won her August primary, has emphasized cost-of-living issues, insurance reform, and attacks on Luna’s record, including donor-related allegations that prompted a cease-and-desist response from Luna’s campaign. A late-August internal Democratic poll showed Gray narrowly ahead, yet the district’s underlying partisan composition and Luna’s incumbency have sustained trader consensus favoring the Republican. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot but has not shifted the race dynamics substantially.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,180End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a strong position in Florida’s 13th congressional district for the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean from recent cycles and her established fundraising and organizational advantages. Leela Gray, the Democratic nominee and retired Army brigadier general who won her August primary, has emphasized cost-of-living issues, insurance reform, and attacks on Luna’s record, including donor-related allegations that prompted a cease-and-desist response from Luna’s campaign. A late-August internal Democratic poll showed Gray narrowly ahead, yet the district’s underlying partisan composition and Luna’s incumbency have sustained trader consensus favoring the Republican. An independent candidate also appears on the ballot but has not shifted the race dynamics substantially.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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