Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured a dominant 89.5% in the March 2026 Republican primary for Texas's 13th congressional district, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 40 points, combined with Jackson's substantial fundraising lead and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for his victory. No major polling shifts or legislative developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking factors such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district indicate limited scope for such changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-13 House Election Winner
TX-13 House Election Winner
$18,978 Vol.
$18,978 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ronny Jackson (R)
95%
Mark Nair (D)
5%
$18,978 Vol.
$18,978 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ronny Jackson (R)
$3,466 Vol.
95%
Mark Nair (D)
$15,513 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured a dominant 89.5% in the March 2026 Republican primary for Texas's 13th congressional district, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 40 points, combined with Jackson's substantial fundraising lead and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for his victory. No major polling shifts or legislative developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking factors such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$18,978End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured a dominant 89.5% in the March 2026 Republican primary for Texas's 13th congressional district, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 40 points, combined with Jackson's substantial fundraising lead and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for his victory. No major polling shifts or legislative developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking factors such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,978End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured a dominant 89.5% in the March 2026 Republican primary for Texas's 13th congressional district, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed. The district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 40 points, combined with Jackson's substantial fundraising lead and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for his victory. No major polling shifts or legislative developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking factors such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district indicate limited scope for such changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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