Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Mark Nair advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary. Texas's 13th District, encompassing much of the Panhandle and parts of the Texoma region, has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including strong support for presidential candidates. Jackson's substantial fundraising lead and endorsements from party leaders reinforce his position ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-13 House Election Winner
TX-13 House Election Winner
$18,978 Vol.
$18,978 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ronny Jackson (R)
95%
Mark Nair (D)
5%
$18,978 Vol.
$18,978 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ronny Jackson (R)
$3,466 Vol.
95%
Mark Nair (D)
$15,513 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Mark Nair advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary. Texas's 13th District, encompassing much of the Panhandle and parts of the Texoma region, has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including strong support for presidential candidates. Jackson's substantial fundraising lead and endorsements from party leaders reinforce his position ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$18,978End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Mark Nair advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary. Texas's 13th District, encompassing much of the Panhandle and parts of the Texoma region, has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including strong support for presidential candidates. Jackson's substantial fundraising lead and endorsements from party leaders reinforce his position ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,978End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Mark Nair advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary. Texas's 13th District, encompassing much of the Panhandle and parts of the Texoma region, has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, including strong support for presidential candidates. Jackson's substantial fundraising lead and endorsements from party leaders reinforce his position ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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