Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th congressional district after defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 23, 2026 primary. The heavily Democratic urban district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx neighborhoods, has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. This structural advantage, combined with Chevalier’s consolidation of progressive and establishment support post-primary, underpins trader consensus around her general-election outcome. Republican nominee Jomo Williams faces the same entrenched partisan imbalance that has limited GOP performance in the seat. Late developments capable of altering the trajectory remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or acute national political realignment within the final weeks before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$39,925 Vol.
$39,925 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
97%
Jomo Williams (R)
2%
$39,925 Vol.
$39,925 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
$27,409 Vol.
97%
Jomo Williams (R)
$12,516 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th congressional district after defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 23, 2026 primary. The heavily Democratic urban district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx neighborhoods, has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. This structural advantage, combined with Chevalier’s consolidation of progressive and establishment support post-primary, underpins trader consensus around her general-election outcome. Republican nominee Jomo Williams faces the same entrenched partisan imbalance that has limited GOP performance in the seat. Late developments capable of altering the trajectory remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or acute national political realignment within the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$39,925End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th congressional district after defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 23, 2026 primary. The heavily Democratic urban district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx neighborhoods, has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. This structural advantage, combined with Chevalier’s consolidation of progressive and establishment support post-primary, underpins trader consensus around her general-election outcome. Republican nominee Jomo Williams faces the same entrenched partisan imbalance that has limited GOP performance in the seat. Late developments capable of altering the trajectory remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or acute national political realignment within the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,925End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th congressional district after defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 23, 2026 primary. The heavily Democratic urban district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx neighborhoods, has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. This structural advantage, combined with Chevalier’s consolidation of progressive and establishment support post-primary, underpins trader consensus around her general-election outcome. Republican nominee Jomo Williams faces the same entrenched partisan imbalance that has limited GOP performance in the seat. Late developments capable of altering the trajectory remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or acute national political realignment within the final weeks before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions