Darializa Avila Chevalier captured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th congressional district in the June 23 primary, defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat by roughly four points in a contest marked by strong support from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive organizations. The district, covering Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx neighborhoods, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles and carries Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Jomo Williams secured the Republican nomination without opposition. These structural factors underpin trader consensus around Chevalier’s commanding position, with the general election on November 3 leaving limited room for shifts absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or significant late-cycle national realignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$39,925 Vol.
$39,925 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
97%
Jomo Williams (R)
2%
$39,925 Vol.
$39,925 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
$27,409 Vol.
97%
Jomo Williams (R)
$12,516 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darializa Avila Chevalier captured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th congressional district in the June 23 primary, defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat by roughly four points in a contest marked by strong support from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive organizations. The district, covering Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx neighborhoods, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles and carries Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Jomo Williams secured the Republican nomination without opposition. These structural factors underpin trader consensus around Chevalier’s commanding position, with the general election on November 3 leaving limited room for shifts absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or significant late-cycle national realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$39,925End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darializa Avila Chevalier captured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th congressional district in the June 23 primary, defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat by roughly four points in a contest marked by strong support from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive organizations. The district, covering Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx neighborhoods, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles and carries Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Jomo Williams secured the Republican nomination without opposition. These structural factors underpin trader consensus around Chevalier’s commanding position, with the general election on November 3 leaving limited room for shifts absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or significant late-cycle national realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,925End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Darializa Avila Chevalier captured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th congressional district in the June 23 primary, defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat by roughly four points in a contest marked by strong support from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive organizations. The district, covering Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx neighborhoods, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles and carries Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Jomo Williams secured the Republican nomination without opposition. These structural factors underpin trader consensus around Chevalier’s commanding position, with the general election on November 3 leaving limited room for shifts absent major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or significant late-cycle national realignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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