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Financial Forecast predictions & odds

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Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

54%

Railbird

$110K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

28%

<0.5%

$28.3K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

30%

1.5–2.0%

$3.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

58%

3.75%

$7M Vol.

$148K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

69%

4.0–5.0%

$535K Vol.

$148K Liq.

7

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

41%

$3.6K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

14%

$1M

$32.9K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

27

Ends in 8 months

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

24%

$1M Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

66

Ends in 9 months

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

98%

OpenAI

$27.3K Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

1%

$220K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 month

Salesforce Q1 current RPO growth (CC)?

Salesforce Q1 current RPO growth (CC)?

46%

<11%

$12 Vol.

$474 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$71.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

CAVA Q1 same restaurant sales growth?

CAVA Q1 same restaurant sales growth?

48%

<2%

$0 Vol.

$178 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

14%

≤2.9%

$17.4K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

81%

No change

$15.0K Vol.

$264K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

26%

$1.8K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 11 months

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

40%

BMO

$22.1K Vol.

$69.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

62%

4.6-4.9%

$23.1K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

56%

<0

$2.1K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

87%

$170 billion

$689 Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Financial Forecast.

Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for Financial Forecast that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 58% chance to 3.75%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Financial Forecast predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.