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MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

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MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Eric Chung 67%

Tim Greimel 21%

Christina Hines 6%

Tripp Adams 1.1%

Polymarket

$40,656 Vol.

Eric Chung 67%

Tim Greimel 21%

Christina Hines 6%

Tripp Adams 1.1%

Polymarket

$40,656 Vol.

Eric Chung

$3,325 Vol.

69%

Tim Greimel

$29,803 Vol.

27%

Christina Hines

$2,865 Vol.

11%

Tripp Adams

$2,563 Vol.

1%

Brian Jaye

$2,100 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads Polymarket trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant Q1 2026 FEC filing showing $336,000 raised, $930,000 cash on hand, and successful grassroots petition drive submitting 2,000 signatures—double the requirement—on April 15. Tim Greimel trails at 26.5% on local name recognition as former state House Democratic leader, while Christina Hines holds 10.5% bolstered by earlier EMILYs List and women's group endorsements despite weaker fundraising at $312,000 cash. The open seat, vacated by Rep. John James for his gubernatorial bid, heightens competition in this battleground district spanning Macomb and Oakland counties, with no public primary polls yet released.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,656
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads Polymarket trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant Q1 2026 FEC filing showing $336,000 raised, $930,000 cash on hand, and successful grassroots petition drive submitting 2,000 signatures—double the requirement—on April 15. Tim Greimel trails at 26.5% on local name recognition as former state House Democratic leader, while Christina Hines holds 10.5% bolstered by earlier EMILYs List and women's group endorsements despite weaker fundraising at $312,000 cash. The open seat, vacated by Rep. John James for his gubernatorial bid, heightens competition in this battleground district spanning Macomb and Oakland counties, with no public primary polls yet released.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,656
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Chung" at 69%, followed by "Tim Greimel" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $40.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Eric Chung" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tim Greimel" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.