Eric Chung leads Polymarket trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant Q1 2026 FEC filing showing $336,000 raised, $930,000 cash on hand, and successful grassroots petition drive submitting 2,000 signatures—double the requirement—on April 15. Tim Greimel trails at 26.5% on local name recognition as former state House Democratic leader, while Christina Hines holds 10.5% bolstered by earlier EMILYs List and women's group endorsements despite weaker fundraising at $312,000 cash. The open seat, vacated by Rep. John James for his gubernatorial bid, heightens competition in this battleground district spanning Macomb and Oakland counties, with no public primary polls yet released.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEric Chung 67%
Tim Greimel 21%
Christina Hines 6%
Tripp Adams 1.1%
$40,656 Vol.
$40,656 Vol.
Eric Chung
69%
Tim Greimel
27%
Christina Hines
11%
Tripp Adams
1%
Brian Jaye
<1%
Eric Chung 67%
Tim Greimel 21%
Christina Hines 6%
Tripp Adams 1.1%
$40,656 Vol.
$40,656 Vol.
Eric Chung
69%
Tim Greimel
27%
Christina Hines
11%
Tripp Adams
1%
Brian Jaye
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Eric Chung leads Polymarket trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant Q1 2026 FEC filing showing $336,000 raised, $930,000 cash on hand, and successful grassroots petition drive submitting 2,000 signatures—double the requirement—on April 15. Tim Greimel trails at 26.5% on local name recognition as former state House Democratic leader, while Christina Hines holds 10.5% bolstered by earlier EMILYs List and women's group endorsements despite weaker fundraising at $312,000 cash. The open seat, vacated by Rep. John James for his gubernatorial bid, heightens competition in this battleground district spanning Macomb and Oakland counties, with no public primary polls yet released.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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