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Elections·Primaries

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Brian Poindexter 100.0%

Ann Marie Donegan <1%

Ed FitzGerald <1%

John Butchko <1%

Polymarket

$19,101 Vol.

Brian Poindexter 100.0%

Ann Marie Donegan <1%

Ed FitzGerald <1%

John Butchko <1%

Polymarket

$19,101 Vol.

Ann Marie Donegan

$1,169 Vol.

No

Ed FitzGerald

$2,124 Vol.

No

John Butchko

$1,231 Vol.

No

Michael Eisner

$1,208 Vol.

No

Keith Mundy

$1,149 Vol.

No

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone

$925 Vol.

No

Brian Poindexter

$9,612 Vol.

Yes

Scott Schulz

$1,682 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Brian Poindexter's commanding 99.7% trader consensus as OH-07 Democratic primary winner stems from his decisive late-night surge in May 5, 2026, election results, pulling ahead of former Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald after an initial neck-and-neck race with each at around 28% early on.** The union ironworker's strong endorsements from Bernie Sanders, the Working Families Party, and blue-collar unions fueled superior grassroots turnout in this low-turnout, eight-candidate field across the redrawn district challenging Republican Rep. Max Miller. Poindexter's appeal to working-class voters in Northeast Ohio's battleground solidified his lead as precincts reported, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. While official certification awaits, scenarios like significant unreported absentee or provisional ballots, a recount request if margins tighten below 0.5%, or legal challenges could theoretically alter the outcome, though traders see minimal risk given the trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,101
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Brian Poindexter's commanding 99.7% trader consensus as OH-07 Democratic primary winner stems from his decisive late-night surge in May 5, 2026, election results, pulling ahead of former Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald after an initial neck-and-neck race with each at around 28% early on.** The union ironworker's strong endorsements from Bernie Sanders, the Working Families Party, and blue-collar unions fueled superior grassroots turnout in this low-turnout, eight-candidate field across the redrawn district challenging Republican Rep. Max Miller. Poindexter's appeal to working-class voters in Northeast Ohio's battleground solidified his lead as precincts reported, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. While official certification awaits, scenarios like significant unreported absentee or provisional ballots, a recount request if margins tighten below 0.5%, or legal challenges could theoretically alter the outcome, though traders see minimal risk given the trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,101
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brian Poindexter" at 100%, followed by "Ann Marie Donegan" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $19.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Brian Poindexter" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ann Marie Donegan" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.