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Elections·Primaries

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Elections·Primaries

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Brian Poindexter 85%

Ed FitzGerald 4.8%

John Butchko 4.1%

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Brian Poindexter 85%

Ed FitzGerald 4.8%

John Butchko 4.1%

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Brian Poindexter

$661 Vol.

85%

Ed FitzGerald

$295 Vol.

5%

John Butchko

$170 Vol.

4%

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone

$189 Vol.

3%

Scott Schulz

$658 Vol.

3%

Keith Mundy

$163 Vol.

1%

Michael Eisner

$116 Vol.

1%

Ann Marie Donegan

$140 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Brian Poindexter at 84.5% implied probability to win the OH-07 Democratic primary on May 5, driven by his union ironworker background and Brook Park City Council experience resonating with the district's working-class voters in Cleveland suburbs. Recent momentum stems from Sen. Bernie Sanders' endorsement on March 26 and labor support from groups like North Shore AFL-CIO, boosting grassroots turnout amid early voting that began this month. Former Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald trails at 4.9% despite leading early fundraising, as the eight-candidate field fragments opposition in this remapped, competitive Lean Republican district challenging incumbent Max Miller. No public polls exist, but trader pricing reflects Poindexter's path to victory absent late surprises.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,390
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Brian Poindexter at 84.5% implied probability to win the OH-07 Democratic primary on May 5, driven by his union ironworker background and Brook Park City Council experience resonating with the district's working-class voters in Cleveland suburbs. Recent momentum stems from Sen. Bernie Sanders' endorsement on March 26 and labor support from groups like North Shore AFL-CIO, boosting grassroots turnout amid early voting that began this month. Former Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald trails at 4.9% despite leading early fundraising, as the eight-candidate field fragments opposition in this remapped, competitive Lean Republican district challenging incumbent Max Miller. No public polls exist, but trader pricing reflects Poindexter's path to victory absent late surprises.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,390
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brian Poindexter" at 85%, followed by "Ed FitzGerald" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Brian Poindexter" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ed FitzGerald" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.