The open seat in Michigan's 11th Congressional District—rated Solid Democratic with a D+9 partisan voter index following Rep. Haley Stevens' Senate bid—drives trader consensus heavily toward Democrats at 92.5%, reflecting the district's suburban Oakland County base and historical Democratic margins. Recent March fundraising reports show Dem primary contenders, led by State Sen. Jeremy Moss with nearly $1 million raised and Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement, vastly outpacing a fragmented Republican field averaging under $30,000. Moss' first-to-file petitions last week signal organizational strength ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Barring a national GOP midterm wave, standout Republican nominee, or Democratic scandal, the outlook remains firmly Democratic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$41,244 Vol.
$41,244 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$41,244 Vol.
$41,244 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$36,716 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$4,529 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 11th Congressional District—rated Solid Democratic with a D+9 partisan voter index following Rep. Haley Stevens' Senate bid—drives trader consensus heavily toward Democrats at 92.5%, reflecting the district's suburban Oakland County base and historical Democratic margins. Recent March fundraising reports show Dem primary contenders, led by State Sen. Jeremy Moss with nearly $1 million raised and Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement, vastly outpacing a fragmented Republican field averaging under $30,000. Moss' first-to-file petitions last week signal organizational strength ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Barring a national GOP midterm wave, standout Republican nominee, or Democratic scandal, the outlook remains firmly Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$41,244End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 11th Congressional District—rated Solid Democratic with a D+9 partisan voter index following Rep. Haley Stevens' Senate bid—drives trader consensus heavily toward Democrats at 92.5%, reflecting the district's suburban Oakland County base and historical Democratic margins. Recent March fundraising reports show Dem primary contenders, led by State Sen. Jeremy Moss with nearly $1 million raised and Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement, vastly outpacing a fragmented Republican field averaging under $30,000. Moss' first-to-file petitions last week signal organizational strength ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Barring a national GOP midterm wave, standout Republican nominee, or Democratic scandal, the outlook remains firmly Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,244End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Michigan's 11th Congressional District—rated Solid Democratic with a D+9 partisan voter index following Rep. Haley Stevens' Senate bid—drives trader consensus heavily toward Democrats at 92.5%, reflecting the district's suburban Oakland County base and historical Democratic margins. Recent March fundraising reports show Dem primary contenders, led by State Sen. Jeremy Moss with nearly $1 million raised and Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement, vastly outpacing a fragmented Republican field averaging under $30,000. Moss' first-to-file petitions last week signal organizational strength ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Barring a national GOP midterm wave, standout Republican nominee, or Democratic scandal, the outlook remains firmly Democratic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions