Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 65%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 14%
Takaichi - Japan PM 5.6%
Trump - USA President 2.4%
$2,655,584 Vol.
$2,655,584 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$113,372 Vol.
65%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$113,372 Vol.
65%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$111,668 Vol.
14%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$111,668 Vol.
14%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$106,489 Vol.
6%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$106,489 Vol.
6%
Trump - USA President
$141,671 Vol.
2%
Trump - USA President
$141,671 Vol.
2%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$96,571 Vol.
2%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$96,571 Vol.
2%
Lecornu - France PM
$101,110 Vol.
2%
Lecornu - France PM
$101,110 Vol.
2%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$116,130 Vol.
2%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$116,130 Vol.
2%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$96,053 Vol.
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$96,053 Vol.
1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$94,955 Vol.
1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$94,955 Vol.
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$87,045 Vol.
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$87,045 Vol.
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$87,565 Vol.
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$87,565 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$100,583 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$100,583 Vol.
1%
Macron - France President
$73,113 Vol.
1%
Macron - France President
$73,113 Vol.
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$84,780 Vol.
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$84,780 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$109,098 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$109,098 Vol.
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$75,133 Vol.
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$75,133 Vol.
1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$95,450 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$95,450 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$101,877 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$101,877 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$120,289 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$120,289 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$120,976 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$120,976 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$80,187 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$80,187 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$93,513 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$93,513 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$93,658 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$93,658 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$86,158 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$86,158 Vol.
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
$85,300 Vol.
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
$85,300 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$108,692 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$108,692 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$74,147 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$74,147 Vol.
<1%
Rules
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 65%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 14%
Takaichi - Japan PM 5.6%
Trump - USA President 2.4%
$2,655,584 Vol.
$2,655,584 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
65%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
14%
Takaichi - Japan PM
6%
Trump - USA President
2%
Orbán - Hungary PM
2%
Lecornu - France PM
2%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
2%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
1%
Putin - Russia President
1%
Macron - France President
1%
Starmer - UK PM
1%
None before 2027
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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