Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 93%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 2.0%
Starmer - UK PM <1%
Takaichi - Japan PM <1%
$7,560,643 Vol.
$7,560,643 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$310,002 Vol.
93%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$342,884 Vol.
2%
Starmer - UK PM
$346,289 Vol.
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$279,819 Vol.
<1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$341,620 Vol.
<1%
Trump - USA President
$366,488 Vol.
<1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$360,067 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$379,461 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$250,923 Vol.
<1%
Lecornu - France PM
$310,712 Vol.
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$240,297 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$223,973 Vol.
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$265,406 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$224,086 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$262,647 Vol.
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$286,476 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$298,268 Vol.
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$302,688 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$223,122 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$209,390 Vol.
<1%
Putin - Russia President
$235,615 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$248,170 Vol.
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
$254,758 Vol.
<1%
None before 2027
$260,920 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$212,275 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$259,913 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$264,373 Vol.
<1%
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 93%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 2.0%
Starmer - UK PM <1%
Takaichi - Japan PM <1%
$7,560,643 Vol.
$7,560,643 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
93%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
2%
Starmer - UK PM
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
<1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
<1%
Trump - USA President
<1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Lecornu - France PM
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
<1%
Macron - France President
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Putin - Russia President
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
<1%
None before 2027
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
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