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Elections·Primaries

Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Elections·Primaries

Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Rob Sand 96.4%

Julie Stauch 1.7%

Paul Dahl 1.1%

Polymarket

$357,520 Vol.

Rob Sand 96.4%

Julie Stauch 1.7%

Paul Dahl 1.1%

Polymarket

$357,520 Vol.

Rob Sand

$356,926 Vol.

96%

Julie Stauch

$0 Vol.

2%

Paul Dahl

$593 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Auditor Rob Sand commands 96.4% trader consensus to win Iowa's Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 2, reflecting his unchallenged position as the sole qualified candidate on the ballot after challenger Julie Stauch failed to meet nomination paper requirements by the March 16 deadline, with Paul Dahl also absent from the final list. Sand's incumbency as the party's only statewide elected official, combined with record fundraising exceeding $9.5 million in 2025 and recent announcements like his "Accountability for All" platform—proposing term limits, cognitive tests, and ethics reforms for officials—have solidified party support ahead of the primary. While write-in campaigns or unforeseen disqualifications could theoretically shift odds, such scenarios face steep procedural barriers under Iowa election law, leaving minimal uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$357,520
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Auditor Rob Sand commands 96.4% trader consensus to win Iowa's Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 2, reflecting his unchallenged position as the sole qualified candidate on the ballot after challenger Julie Stauch failed to meet nomination paper requirements by the March 16 deadline, with Paul Dahl also absent from the final list. Sand's incumbency as the party's only statewide elected official, combined with record fundraising exceeding $9.5 million in 2025 and recent announcements like his "Accountability for All" platform—proposing term limits, cognitive tests, and ethics reforms for officials—have solidified party support ahead of the primary. While write-in campaigns or unforeseen disqualifications could theoretically shift odds, such scenarios face steep procedural barriers under Iowa election law, leaving minimal uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$357,520
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rob Sand" at 96%, followed by "Julie Stauch" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $357.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Rob Sand" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Julie Stauch" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.