Next French Presidential Election

$1,630,119 Vol.

Apr 30, 2027

Jordan Bardella 23%

Marine Le Pen 18%

Édouard Philippe 13%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Jordan Bardella
$121,577 Vol.
23%

Marine Le Pen
$75,667 Vol.
18%

Édouard Philippe
$35,401 Vol.
13%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$55,128 Vol.
12%

Dominique de Villepin
$70,122 Vol.
7%

Gabriel Attal
$34,778 Vol.
5%

Sarah Knafo
$45,964 Vol.
5%

Sébastien Lecornu
$11,481 Vol.
4%

Bruno Retailleau
$30,573 Vol.
3%

David Lisnard
$27,222 Vol.
3%

Raphaël Glucksmann
$31,370 Vol.
2%

Éric Zemmour
$41,044 Vol.
2%

François Hollande
$38,901 Vol.
1%

Juan Branco
$26,554 Vol.
1%

Gérald Darmanin
$25,810 Vol.
1%

Laurent Wauquiez
$20,966 Vol.
1%

Jean Castex
$41,519 Vol.
1%

François Ruffin
$22,437 Vol.
1%

Marine Tondelier
$37,835 Vol.
1%

Clémence Guetté
$8,686 Vol.
<1%

Olivier Faure
$25,344 Vol.
<1%

Ségolène Royal
$75,266 Vol.
<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve
$22,003 Vol.
<1%

Xavier Bertrand
$57,317 Vol.
<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
$34,532 Vol.
<1%

Fabien Roussel
$65,503 Vol.
<1%

François Asselineau
$90,808 Vol.
<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$32,915 Vol.
<1%

Valérie Pécresse
$23,201 Vol.
<1%

Élisabeth Borne
$31,591 Vol.
<1%

Carole Delga
$69,608 Vol.
<1%

Manuel Bompard
$146,253 Vol.
<1%

Clémentine Autain
$54,360 Vol.
<1%

Michel Barnier
$29,588 Vol.
<1%

François Bayrou
$30,578 Vol.
<1%

Mathilde Panot
$38,218 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Created At: Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Volume

$1,630,119

End Date

Apr 30, 2027

Created At

Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$1,630,119 Vol.

Apr 30, 2027

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 23%

Marine Le Pen 18%

Édouard Philippe 13%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Jordan Bardella

$121,577 Vol.

23%

Marine Le Pen

$75,667 Vol.

18%

Édouard Philippe

$35,401 Vol.

13%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$55,128 Vol.

12%

Dominique de Villepin

$70,122 Vol.

Gabriel Attal

$34,778 Vol.

Sarah Knafo

$45,964 Vol.

Sébastien Lecornu

$11,481 Vol.

Bruno Retailleau

$30,573 Vol.

David Lisnard

$27,222 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$31,370 Vol.

Éric Zemmour

$41,044 Vol.

François Hollande

$38,901 Vol.

Juan Branco

$26,554 Vol.

Gérald Darmanin

$25,810 Vol.

Laurent Wauquiez

$20,966 Vol.

Jean Castex

$41,519 Vol.

François Ruffin

$22,437 Vol.

Marine Tondelier

$37,835 Vol.

Clémence Guetté

$8,686 Vol.

<1%

Olivier Faure

$25,344 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$75,266 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$22,003 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$57,317 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$34,532 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$65,503 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$90,808 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$32,915 Vol.

<1%

Valérie Pécresse

$23,201 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$31,591 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$69,608 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$146,253 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$54,360 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$29,588 Vol.

<1%

François Bayrou

$30,578 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$38,218 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$1,630,119

End Date

Apr 30, 2027

Created At

Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella$121,577 Vol.23%buy Yes24¢buy No78¢

Marine Le Pen$75,667 Vol.18%buy Yes19¢buy No83¢

Édouard Philippe$35,401 Vol.13%buy Yes14¢buy No88¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon$55,128 Vol.12%buy Yes12¢buy No89¢

Dominique de Villepin$70,122 Vol.7%buy Yes7.2¢buy No93.0¢

Gabriel Attal$34,778 Vol.5%buy Yes6¢buy No96¢

Sarah Knafo$45,964 Vol.5%buy Yes4.9¢buy No95.2¢

Sébastien Lecornu$11,481 Vol.4%buy Yes5¢buy No97¢

Bruno Retailleau$30,573 Vol.3%buy Yes3.5¢buy No96.7¢

David Lisnard$27,222 Vol.3%buy Yes2.9¢buy No97.3¢

Raphaël Glucksmann$31,370 Vol.2%buy Yes2.4¢buy No97.9¢

Éric Zemmour$41,044 Vol.2%buy Yes1.9¢buy No98.4¢

François Hollande$38,901 Vol.1%buy Yes1.0¢buy No99.1¢

Juan Branco$26,554 Vol.1%buy Yes1.1¢buy No99.3¢

Gérald Darmanin$25,810 Vol.1%buy Yes0.9¢buy No99.3¢

Laurent Wauquiez$20,966 Vol.1%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.5¢

Jean Castex$41,519 Vol.1%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.6¢

François Ruffin$22,437 Vol.1%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.7¢

Marine Tondelier$37,835 Vol.1%buy Yes0.6¢buy No99.6¢

Clémence Guetté$8,686 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.6¢buy No99.7¢

Olivier Faure$25,344 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.7¢

Ségolène Royal$75,266 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.4¢buy No99.8¢

Bernard Cazeneuve$22,003 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.8¢

Xavier Bertrand$57,317 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Yaël Braun-Pivet$34,532 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Fabien Roussel$65,503 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

François Asselineau$90,808 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan$32,915 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Valérie Pécresse$23,201 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Élisabeth Borne$31,591 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Carole Delga$69,608 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Manuel Bompard$146,253 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Clémentine Autain$54,360 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Michel Barnier$29,588 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

François Bayrou$30,578 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Mathilde Panot$38,218 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Market Context