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Elections·Primaries

Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Elections·Primaries

Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner

Marsha Blackburn 89%

John Rose 6%

Monty Fritts 5%

Polymarket
NEW

Marsha Blackburn 89%

John Rose 6%

Monty Fritts 5%

Polymarket
NEW

Marsha Blackburn

$0 Vol.

89%

John Rose

$0 Vol.

6%

Monty Fritts

$0 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win the Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by her incumbency advantage, statewide name recognition, and alignment with GOP priorities on issues like border security and conservative judicial appointments. No major candidate announcements, endorsements, or polls have surfaced in the past 30 days to alter this positioning, leaving Congressman John Rose (6%) and State Senator Monty Fritts (4.5%) as distant alternatives based on their lower profiles and narrower bases. Historical patterns favor high-profile incumbents in early primary markets, though high-profile challengers, Trump endorsements, or fundraising surges could shift odds ahead of the August 2026 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win the Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by her incumbency advantage, statewide name recognition, and alignment with GOP priorities on issues like border security and conservative judicial appointments. No major candidate announcements, endorsements, or polls have surfaced in the past 30 days to alter this positioning, leaving Congressman John Rose (6%) and State Senator Monty Fritts (4.5%) as distant alternatives based on their lower profiles and narrower bases. Historical patterns favor high-profile incumbents in early primary markets, though high-profile challengers, Trump endorsements, or fundraising surges could shift odds ahead of the August 2026 primary.

U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win the Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by her incumbency advantage, statewide name recognition, and alignment with GOP priorities on issues like border security and conservative judicial appointments. No major candidate announcements, endorsements, or polls have surfaced in the past 30 days to alter this positioning, leaving Congressman John Rose (6%) and State Senator Monty Fritts (4.5%) as distant alternatives based on their lower profiles and narrower bases. Historical patterns favor high-profile incumbents in early primary markets, though high-profile challengers, Trump endorsements, or fundraising surges could shift odds ahead of the August 2026 primary.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marsha Blackburn" at 89%, followed by "John Rose" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Marsha Blackburn" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Rose" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.