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Next French Presidential Election

$559,869 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 34%

Édouard Philippe 18%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

Marine Le Pen 9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$559,869
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM UTC
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$559,869 Vol.

Market icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 34%

Édouard Philippe 18%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%

Marine Le Pen 9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Jordan Bardella

$16,626 Vol.

34%

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Édouard Philippe

$10,063 Vol.

18%

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$27,714 Vol.

10%

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Marine Le Pen

$10,986 Vol.

9%

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Sarah Knafo

$12,695 Vol.

8%

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Gabriel Attal

$10,406 Vol.

6%

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Bruno Retailleau

$7,418 Vol.

5%

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Dominique de Villepin

$10,700 Vol.

4%

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David Lisnard

$9,363 Vol.

3%

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,171 Vol.

2%

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Éric Zemmour

$8,770 Vol.

2%

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Olivier Faure

$12,129 Vol.

1%

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François Hollande

$8,755 Vol.

1%

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François Ruffin

$9,473 Vol.

1%

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Gérald Darmanin

$7,672 Vol.

1%

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Laurent Wauquiez

$7,245 Vol.

<1%

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Marine Tondelier

$12,770 Vol.

<1%

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Bernard Cazeneuve

$9,231 Vol.

<1%

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François Asselineau

$73,920 Vol.

<1%

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Juan Branco

$2,617 Vol.

<1%

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Xavier Bertrand

$19,799 Vol.

<1%

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Fabien Roussel

$29,750 Vol.

<1%

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Manuel Bompard

$14,741 Vol.

<1%

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Clémentine Autain

$29,242 Vol.

<1%

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Michel Barnier

$10,899 Vol.

<1%

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François Bayrou

$8,563 Vol.

<1%

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Mathilde Panot

$17,078 Vol.

<1%

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Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$21,178 Vol.

<1%

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Valérie Pécresse

$8,075 Vol.

<1%

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Élisabeth Borne

$10,473 Vol.

<1%

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Jean Castex

$22,683 Vol.

<1%

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Carole Delga

$50,937 Vol.

<1%

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Ségolène Royal

$30,100 Vol.

<1%

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Yaël Braun-Pivet

$8,626 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$559,869
End Date
Apr 30, 2027
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 10:47 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.